Sashinii t1_itoqrvj wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:01 AM

2025-2029. It'll probably be guaranteed basic income that's implemented.

eternalpounding t1_itorj0x wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:09 AM

I'd say that's wildly optimistic, I'm curious to hear your reasoning though. American politics as it is now doesn't even account for basic human necessities of citizens, and I don't see automation gearing up to a point where they'd seriously consider UBI anytime soon. I'd be surprised if the U.S. implemented UBI before 2045.

Sashinii t1_itoti2w wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:32 AM

Exponential growth won't slow down; the accelerating technological progress that's been happening non-stop this year in the area of AI will soon lead to automation taking over literally all jobs, and by soon, I mean this decade, so some type of basic income has to be implemented (until the nanofactory is created, which will make money obsolete).

hmurphy2023 t1_itowzvv wrote on October 25, 2022 at 6:15 AM

No offense but the way you write makes it seem as if you've seen the future and therefore know for sure what it holds and that comes off as very arrogant.

ExtraFun4319 t1_itov38v wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:51 AM

>this decade

You told me a few weeks ago that you believe full automation would take place in the 2030s. You changed your mind in that time span?

Shelfrock77 t1_itoszj0 wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:26 AM

RK said UBI in 2030s with his old AGI (2030) prediction. He recently changed his prediction and said we will “most likely” get AGI before 2030 so logically, we could assume his UBI predictions gets bumped down to mid-late 2020s.

fignewtgingrich OP t1_itoskh5 wrote on October 25, 2022 at 5:21 AM

Perhaps then it is contingent upon the rate of automation?