Re-reading the post you originally responded to, I apparently missed or skimmed over “replace ALL work” when I first read it. I agree that it’s not at all unreasonable to doubt 100% automation in the near future.

What I think is certain (or very nearly so) is that starting in the fairly- near future — likely within a 10 year time-frame — AI-enabled automation will cause substantial disruption to global labor markets and workers. I think it’s also reasonable to predict that nearly all jobs will be capable of being automated within a similar time-frame. However, I agree that full automation will take longer.