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goldygnome t1_isrrd8o wrote

Yes. The point of automation is to reduce the wages bill. I can easily see reduced demand for junior programmers as a result of efficiency gains from codex to existing teams.

It won't speed up the singularity. All techs seem to follow some form of exponential curve with little deviation for good times, bad times or even war. It may increase programmer efficiency, but that could just be required to keep it on the accelerating curve.

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AdditionalPizza OP t1_issbqr7 wrote

>It won't speed up the singularity. All techs seem to follow some form of exponential curve

I understand what you mean. But when you zoom in on an exponential curve it's often made up of smaller S curves.

Increasing the efficiency, accuracy, and speed of programming, while reducing the cost should theoretically give a boost to the S curves across different sectors.

The nature of an S curve is it will plateau for a while before accelerating again, a large enough upward S curve near the end of the exponential curve could be a sign of an impending take off.

Sorry this is hard to explain without drawing a diagram.

I feel as though this could be a signal toward much closer transformative AI than expected by most people. Maybe not the singularity yet, but a revolution nonetheless.

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