Submitted by pradej t3_y6gas6 in singularity
These are important sectors that I feel are often overlooked when it comes to automation.
A lot of people online list these sectors as being safe from automation, and some say that people should aim for these careers as they will be safe from automation.
What are your thoughts on this? How will these fields be changed in the coming years?
Something real close to that exists now...
Check out character.ai, pick an intelligent character, and discuss anything you want with it.
Sometimes it will make stuff up, sometimes it will recommend you existing piece of literature/media, sometimes it will blow your mind by the quality of their advices.
Sometimes it will pull up an extremely recent news that you gotta wonder if they're googling stuff real time while you're talking with it.
It can also discuss the content of books and all sorts of media.
It's quite interesting, really...
It looks like I have to sign up to use the service. I'll definitely check it out later.
Honestly, one of the biggest filters that I need is: "Show me only the papers I actually have access to. Don't show me PubMed links that don't include a full paper. Don't show me links to Elsevier journals that I look like I have access, but I really don't."
Google Scholar does usually indicate an actual, downloadable paper with a link in the margins, but it's not perfect. Sometimes I need to scroll through a few pages of results to turn up a few papers I can even access, and then they're not always relevant. Other times, there actually is a version of the paper I can access, but Google Scholar doesn't indicate that as an option, so I have to click a few times to dig deeper.
Libgen?
Literally every job will be automated in the near future.
As for how the fields will change when AI takes over all of them, we'll finally get all of those cool technologies that people have been reading about for years that never left the lab before, so for example: medicine will be so advanced that it'll actually cure illnesses instead of treating them.
Not every job.
Some jobs are much harder to automate. Some jobs people won’t want robots doing even if they can.
For example; restaurants. Yes, fast food is already automating. Fine dining? The customers are going to expect human waiters and chefs.
Another example is government. A lot of people simply won’t accept being governed by machines. People will expect humans to continue to make the decisions.
Yeah restaurants should be fine unless my robot slave cooks for me and I just downloaded the French cuisine DLC
Why would they want human chefs? I imagine fine dining is the type of restaurant experience where people would care most about wanting the highest quality and precise food preparation possible.
The waiters, maître d', Sommelier etc will still be human. The stuff you don't see will be automated.
Finance has far more automation than you think it does. It was an early adopter. They just don’t advertise the machine learning algorithms watch and analyzing the markets 24/7, and even making a lot of trades autonomously.
Machine learning in medicine as a diagnostic tool has been widely publicized.
I read an article yesterday about machine learning finding more efficient algorithms for matrix multiplication.
I will copy and paste what I said somewhere else.
I think you will need AGI for most developers to lose their job. Like the average person, management, etc doesn't know what to ask the AI to do to get it to do what they want.
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I think the jobs that are at most risk with modern or near modern AI is things like accountants, basic legal, and things like that. Things where you can put in exact inputs or give a system whatever, and it will spit out the answer.
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I think we are maybe 10 years from it starting to take over a lot of engineering jobs.
Are we talking full automation, or partial? Full meaning every single job in that sector, partial meaning anything between zero automation and full automation.
In the partial automation category, anything that just requires a brain will be automated first. Anything that requires a body will probably be last. There might be a few people left to do certain tasks, but ultimately everyone else would have to be on some kind of universal income at that point anyway, if money even exists in the same way it does now.
As for in the coming years, I think most of the jobs you listed will be mostly automated by 2030. I think full automation could be a while but who knows.
I don’t things will change that much over the next 10 years. But I think a lot will change over the next 20 years. Automation is only going to increase as it becomes more affordable/practical for companies. Hopefully our politicians and business leaders are thinking about what’s on the horizon.
If you want an extra 2 months of soul wrenching labor while 80% of the population is sipping martinis in a post scarcity UBI program, go for those jobs!
Open AI CEO's vision is everyone gets $13,500 every year on their 18th birthday. That's a lot less that some people on welfare used to get, but don't worry, robot labor should make martinis much cheaper.
UBI is going to be subsistence level. More swigging Popov Vodka out of a plastic jug in a back alley than cocktails on the beach.
Post scarcity UBI != 2020s UBI
Fuck. Are you serious? What’s the point of life then if you’re a complete hermit and have no friends or conversations in years? My only hope was a job
Not having to work does not equal an inability to work.
How will status be determined?
status if that's important to you can still be determined by attractiveness, social circle and personality, it already is in society today.
Penis length.
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Ritual combat.
I definitely think that for mathematics, we'll have tools similar to chess engines (something like Lichess UI would be amazing) but to help us solve problems (well, this exists already, but it's not really that good, and the ambiguity it can tolerate is mostly hard coded stuff).
I heard a few months ago about a tool that transformed formal prover code into LaTeX (or vice-versa, I can't remember), based on GPT-3. I can't imagine this kind of tools not being a huge thing in the next few years. Especially, I'm expecting that future math articles will have code with formal proofs in appendix (or like a github link).
Acceleration, keeping up with new information and breakthroughs will be the challenge. Having an AI assistant to filter and condense information may become necessary.
phriot t1_isp8w1p wrote
I assume it won't be too long before I can have an intelligent agent/assistant that can do a really good job finding papers for me. Keyword searches aren't bad, but there's often a fair amount of filtering that I have to do myself.