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TemetN t1_irgglyl wrote

In terms of weak AGI (broadly meeting human level on benchmarks) by 2025. I think people tend to either underestimate progress in this area, or consider AGI from a different perspective than simply broad human level performance.

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DungeonsAndDradis t1_irghzsf wrote

That's my guess as well. Just with the rapid advancements this year alone. Gato and Palm and Lambda are crazy.

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TemetN t1_irgisen wrote

Yes, that and the dataset misses (most notably with MATH) make me think this is going to surprise even people tracking the field.

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Honestly we're due for another major LLM drop soon, it's easy to get lost in all the other stuff, but it's mostly been focused elsewhere.

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SejaGentil t1_irirwko wrote

what are those?

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sideways t1_irl39bo wrote

PaLM's logical reasoning really blew my mind. That, more than anything, convinced me that we are close to AGI.

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