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TheDividendReport t1_jeb7rpx wrote

Speaking of Kurzweil, I'm suddenly chuckling inside realizing how all discussion of when his next book would stop getting delayed was abruptly put on the sidelines as ChatGPT rolled out.

So, here's a renewed and obligatory remark on how that book may never be written because we very well may have found ourselves on the on-ramp of the point of no return and there's no keeping up.

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ITsupportSuperHero t1_jebbwuc wrote

I remember someone here making a joke about how, by the time the book came out, it would have to be named "The Singularity is Here"

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s2ksuch t1_jebr2av wrote

Omg you kidding me? Everytime this comes up people come up with more and more funnier titles lol I always get a kick out of it

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sequoia-3 t1_jednw9j wrote

in fact it is called: "The Singularity Is Nearer" (You can google it)

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AsuhoChinami t1_jeb8892 wrote

My timelines are being adjusted and shortened each month. It's getting really hard to predict even the near future. Should've just released it back in '21 like he'd originally planned, since that was the last basically normal year before the warm-up that was 2022 and the speed-up that 2023 seems to be.

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TFenrir t1_jebq9go wrote

If Kurzweil forecasting skills are good enough maybe he knew that selling the book this summer would make him the most money lol

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jebjsdi wrote

The book is already written. I have a pre-order for a June release

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Itchy-mane t1_jebmorl wrote

$20 says you don't get that book in June

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jebnogi wrote

Don't see why not - it's finished

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Itchy-mane t1_jebo4rj wrote

You're on 🤝

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systranerror t1_jedhnrt wrote

There's no way that the book he wrote is still relevant even if he did finish it. Imagine it coming out in June when most of it was written pre-2022. He's got a real challenge now to somehow make it relevant assuming changes that will happen in months between submitted to publisher and coming to store shelves/Amazon.

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jedjs50 wrote

I agree with this, which is a real shame. I'll read it anyway, I've been waiting for it for more than 15 years.

He HAS definitely finished it though - Neil De Grasse Tyson has read it (kurzweil was on his podcast around Xmas, and they talk about it)

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systranerror t1_jedkgw2 wrote

Yeah I definitely believe that he's finished it, but the traditional publishing industry can no longer keep up with the speed this stuff is moving at. He might have to change large sections of the book or start predicting further out somehow. To be honest, I find his "computronium" idea the weakest of his predictions, so I hope he doesn't go that route!

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sequoia-3 t1_jedonfr wrote

The examples he might be using will be outdated, however, his framework around AI and the definition of AGI versus Singularity are still very relevant.

I would suggest that people interested do some research on Peter Diamandis (in the end both established the Singularity University).

Peter's book - The Future Is Faster Than You Think: How Converging Technologies Are Disrupting Business, Industries, and Our Lives is a good one. He has a podcast interviewing business leaders in the industry. He is very into the Longevity topic. This is another area that is exploding which so few people are aware of. (check out r/longevity)

David Sinclair is a must-follow on this subject, check out his podcast to get started. He is really into something. (as well as many other researchers as well of course)

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yaosio t1_jec98pt wrote

He should have GPT-4 help him write it.

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