I think people need to temper their expectations a bit. Things definitely are ramping up, but there's no saying when we'll reach broadly usable AGI.

For one, transistors have pretty much stopped getting smaller. We're butting up on fundamental physical limits there.

So, without some as of yet unknown computational paradigm shift, it's possible that true AGI may always need to run on building sized computers consuming megawatts/gigawatts of power.

People could still access this remotely via the cloud, presumably, but it would severely limit the scale and impact of AGI in regular life.