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SkyeandJett t1_jeeknn8 wrote

EVE is old news. NEO is set to be unveiled in the summer and coupled with OpenAI access and investment I expect to see it demonstrated performing generalized tasks without extensive pre-training before the end of the year. Everyone who thinks blue collar jobs are safe for the next decade are dreaming.

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jeex1n0 wrote

Depends *which* blue-collar jobs. I can see a lot of factory work continuing to be automated, but things like plumbing, electrical installations, tiling etc require a lot of dexterity and the ability to work in awkward spaces. I don't think they are unsolvable problems by any stretch, but I could see it taking up to a decade.

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SkyeandJett t1_jeexe6t wrote

We'll see. I hope you're wrong. Once you get to "do this task" it won't care if that's "move a box" or "solder a refrigerant line".

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jef9lfu wrote

I also hope I'm wrong. A task != any task though. The level of dexterity and movement required is difficult. I'm thinking more from a hardware than a software perspective.

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BigMemeKing t1_jefmcx4 wrote

Youre also thinking more from a human perspective, it's hard to do for humans because of our hands. A robot with specific attachments could do the job much easier. And it could just be a generalized attachments that could be used for multiple purposes. Or an attachment station that allows the bots to pre equip for a specific task.

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KaliQt t1_jeftx4r wrote

While true, I think companies will rush to fill that role. Because we haven't had good general software to power the robots until recently, they didn't think to go past the initial hardware.

If general purpose robots become commonplace, naturally the next step would be to increase their performance and capabilities including making specialized robots. And it'll happen very quickly.

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Iffykindofguy t1_jeferli wrote

I agree to a degree but even if they're not replaced the amount of man power needed per job will go down. If you're already a small-scale operation or you run a bunch of individual contractors that may not impact you but for larger-scale jobs it will displace a lot of people already with hours that will then be taking up any open slots.

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Zer0D0wn83 t1_jefikug wrote

Oh, for sure. We're going to see job losses in every sector

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