User1539 t1_je1q3go wrote on March 28, 2023 at 7:50 PM

Reply to comment by JVM_ in The goalposts for "I'll believe it's real AI when..." have moved to "literally duplicate Einstein" by Yuli-Ban

Also, it's a chicken-> Egg problem, where they're looking at eggs saying 'No chickens here!'.

Where do you think AGI is going to come from?! Probably non-AGI AI, right?!

JVM_ t1_je1qnu6 wrote on March 28, 2023 at 7:53 PM

AGI isn't going to spawn out of nothing, it might end up being the AI that integrates with all the sub-AI's.

Shit's going to get weird.

User1539 t1_je2f9u0 wrote on March 28, 2023 at 10:33 PM

yeah, AGI is likely to be the result of self-improving non-AGI AI.

It's so weird that it could be 10 years, 20 years, or 100 and there's no really great way to know ... but, of course, just seeing things like LLMs explode, it's easier to believe 2 years than 20.