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PrivateUser010 t1_j8dls02 wrote

So compounding exponential is just exponential I think. But I think Jack Clark may have imagined something like E^(E^x))

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Borrowedshorts t1_j8dz7r7 wrote

AI likely doesn't exhibit this, but it has been advancing faster than Moore's law. The only thing that will exhibit a double exponential is probably quantum computing.

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hydraofwar t1_j8e0hw8 wrote

Perhaps because this supposed exponential growth of the AI ​​may need proportional energy or simply a lot of energy.

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Borrowedshorts t1_j8f4clg wrote

Even if we assume that, it's not necessarily a problem or suggests that AI progress will slow anytime soon. We can afford to dedicate a lot more energy to AI improvement than we currently are. Recent multimodal models seem to suggest there is plenty of room for efficiency gains yet. We are still far from limitations of energy becoming a primary concern, if it ever does, as AI self-improvement will make its own algorithms more efficient and get better and better at finding outside resources to exploit.

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