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dwarfarchist9001 t1_ja6l4lq wrote

Reply to comment by SpecialMembership in Singularity claims its first victim: the anime industry by Ok_Sea_6214

The singularity=/=AGI

The technological singularity is about the rate of technological growth becoming infinite. Which is theoretically possible with only a bunch of narrow AIs.

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turnip_burrito t1_ja78g5n wrote

No, the actual definition is the point in time when technological progress makes predictions of the future useless. Usually in context of AI, but it could also be due to other technology.

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Ok_Sea_6214 OP t1_ja6obnd wrote

Diffusion has already created infinite, high quality content. But because the market is already saturated, no one cares.

But the anime market is tiny, as someone else pointed out it has been on life support since 2008. But with this technology you could have infinite amounts of high quality anime.

It's not so much the growth of technology but of value production here that amounts to the singularity, but is the difference relevant to the average consumer?

If say the human in customer support is replaced with an AI and I can't tell from the quality or the cost, then that makes no difference to me, even if it is technically the singularity. But if the quality goes up and cost goes down to me the consumer as a consequence, then yes that is an infinite cycle of evolutionary improvement, and thus the singularity becomes reality to me.

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[deleted] t1_ja8126j wrote

yeah but singularity could indeed happen right after AGI. Once it can self-improve the innovation rate could go crazy fast almost instanteneously.

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Verzingetorix t1_jaaepwc wrote

I disagree. Super human intelligence could end up making great discoveries but they would not deploy overnight.

Manufacturing would require to repurpose or build new plants. Drugs and therapies would require human testing and regulatory approval. Advances in infrastructure, ground, air and sea transportation would also take time to deploy.

An intelligence explosion will not necessarily result in advances that humans are able to implement and even if they could, they will not magically transform day to day life overnight.

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