This is assuming GPT4 will release in a way similar to 3 and chatGPT. When I talk about this generation, it should also include Google's public release of Bard depending on its success.

I wonder because of the way these will be implemented from here on out. Tying them into search engines and other products (Office, Excel, Snapchat, etc), will probably begin to follow how most software iterations are released. The public will just slowly see better and better results, and Microsoft/Google will just have v1.1, v1.2, v2.2, etc. We will not see substantial changes, but a constant flow of "Oh we can do this with AI now? Cool."

I don't mean people in this subreddit necessarily, but the general public won't get another chatGPT level of AI publicity sweeping across social media. Google will probably release Bard and it will improve quickly enough that there's no point in using Bing; Or who knows, Google might fail and Bing will prevail. But it doesn't really matter who wins or loses that's not my point.

Are we about to be in a situation where AI is the norm? It's just kind of a "thing" we have and it's extremely useful and replaces the point-of-access of the internet for most of us, and the world will never be the same? We will adopt it faster than we adopted the internet (because the internet makes AI adoption nearly instant). We won't know what hit us in a matter of months, we won't even feel it until we look back.

Hallucinations will just start to kind of disappear, new models will be implemented regularly on the backend without a ton of fanfare just to stay ahead of the competition; Outside of maybe the very "impressive" new features, which will hit the front page for about 24 hours. Jobs will be made easier and easier until they're unnecessary for larger and larger chunks of the population (unnecessary, not necessarily entirely replaced yet).

Every facet of our lives will [relatively] slowly be enhanced by AI at a steady pace. Is this upcoming generation of language models the beginning of this? Arguably we have reached the point of transformative AI already, and any new iteration now is just another gob of icing on the cake. But will this year's models be the last of the "look what AI can do!" days? Are we already exiting those days and this generation will cement AI into most people's daily lives? Of course there will still be big impressive feats here and there on the road to AGI, but we will stop being surprised that AI can "do" intellectual things that only humans could prior.

Just as an anecdote:

>I remember my father bringing home a box one day in the 90's. He explained that inside of the box was the World Wide Web. I was a kid, didn't really know what that meant but assumed it was some boring CD program. He got it all connected and was showing me Netscape Navigator (I thought the meteor traveling across the N logo was cool I guess) but I didn't really "get" it. Until he loaded up some random flash game page. I played Battleship for a little while, and was like "ok, but I have an SNES why would I bother with this?"

I feel like this is where we are right now with AI and the general public. It's "neat" and we know it'll probably be useful for some people.

So eventually my siblings and I started downloading music, chatting with friends over ICQ and later on MSN messenger, ROMs and emulators, movies/shows, Playstation games, and so on. Our internet got faster and more robust. The largest QoL upgrade was getting a second phone line in the house. I moved away, got cable internet, I now have fiber these days. I don't remember or really care about the time I went from 5mb/s to 15, or the first video I watched online. What still sticks in my head 25 years later is that underwhelming shitty game of Battleship, and the first time I messaged a friend from my class online over ICQ; Around this time is when the internet became a thing I used almost daily. I remember downloading music and stuff but it's not as specific. The wonder wasn't there because it just felt more normal like "Oh I heard you can do this, let's try it out."

ChatGPT hit the public pretty hard, I heard way more people talking about it than the Bing version. I think Google is poised to just release Bard, hopefully with fewer hallucinations and have it tie into our personalized records they've harvested. And that will be that. AI will be how we Google things and one day in the future I will look back on 2023 and try to pinpoint when exactly I stopped needing to Google with "site:reddit.com" because AI was more efficient. 2023 (March/May I hope!) will be the "ICQ moment" of AI.

Am I crazy here? Of course this assumes some more success with search engine implementation, but what else is there between now and a new internet? I really believe this change in how we access the internet will be much more transformative than people think. I don't see anyone really talking about it. It's safe to assume most of us in this subreddit are "good" at finding information online, and using it to enhance our intelligence. It's slow and clunky, but it is a form of enhancing our intelligence. Opening up search and merely asking a question, then getting accurate and reputable information? That will change everything. No sifting through garbage, trying to ready lengthy articles that are written in such a way to keep you engaged.

Anyway, has anyone stopped to really think about this at all?? Not like "I can't wait for gpt4 it'll be awesome" or "AGI is < 10 years away! Can't wait!" kind of things. Like, this is most likely < months away. A transformative artificial intelligence, publicly available, anytime between today and like 2 months away. Wtf. Well I hope it's within 2 months. The actual implications of technology that will begin rolling out any day now. Is this LLM gen the last big event until (if) we see a successor(s) to the language model architecture itself before AGI?