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rya794 t1_jadltfe wrote

I’m pretty sure we’re already there.

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PunkRockDude t1_jadrpj3 wrote

And that was before AI comes into the picture. Even slower are companies ability to support change even when the employees are ready.

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MarginCalled1 t1_jae2dx9 wrote

And unfortunately the Government is even slower.

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Embarrassed-Bison767 t1_jaeax4i wrote

Don't even start. Some govt departments in Germany still use FAX. Public white collar work will take longer to automate than private office jobs because of govt's reluctance to change.

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sustainablenerd28 t1_jae9n8i wrote

lol I have seen some true idiots in white collar jobs, like the most difficult thing they do every day is check their email and delegate tasks

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DowntownYou5783 t1_jaegr5c wrote

It's true. Office Space is real (at least in some corners of the white-collar world). That's why it's a cult classic.

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onyxengine t1_jadzeid wrote

We kinda are, if the industry experts in the field you want to join are collaborating with machine learning engineers to build an AI that streamlines their workflows and knows what they know. You’re not going to become an industry expert before that AI becomes a tool that replaces the industry experts.

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TooManyLangs t1_jadvyp7 wrote

this

It's already faster to train an AI than a human for such tasks.

Humans are still faster learning easy things, like playing a new game, using a new tool, learning a new word, so...we are doomed?

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SnooHabits1237 t1_jae3rde wrote

Lol yeah I was gonna say…personally Ive been studying javascript for only 3 months and im already pushing out a small app and a website with 0 prior knowledge of the internet in general. With the help of ai if course. Im going to keep learning but im just doing stuff on my own. That’s one dev job gone because Im not going to work for anyone and thus not work on a big team project ever probably.

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[deleted] t1_jadxmef wrote

[deleted]

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techy098 t1_jaeehsd wrote

I strongly disagree with this idea. Just because mass lay offs are not happening because of AI taking over white collar jobs does not mean it won't be a reality in 5 years.

Even if AI starts replacing workers in 7-10 years a college graduate has to worry about it, otherwise 4-5 years of college with a ton of debt is not going to serve them well.

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rya794 t1_jadzdj8 wrote

The question isn’t just about whether or not you could get a job in 3-4 years, it’s about whether or not the investment makes sense. Unless, you plan to be employed in a field for >7ish years, then the answer is almost certainly no.

Are you confident you can identify a field that will still require your labor in 10-11 years?

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visarga t1_jadzefz wrote

There's a long way from "impressive demo" to "replacing humans". Self driving cars could impress us in demos even 10 years ago, but they can't be on their own, not even now.

If you work in ML you tend to know the failure modes and issues much better than the public. So you have to be less optimistic. Machine learning works only when the problem is close to the training data. It doesn't generalise well, you have to get good data if you want good results.

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techy098 t1_jaef8ox wrote

Only reason we do not see Google's self driving cars on road is because of cost liability issues. Laws are yet to be written how to decide how much liability is to be covered when a company is a multi billion company and lawsuit claims billions of dollars for mental problems caused by the accident.

If they limit the liability to 200-300k per accident, like it is with human drivers and accept all the recorded video as evidence, google may go full scale with its self driving system, at least in robo taxis and high end cars since cost is still a lot (maybe around $25-30k).

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