cyberentomology t1_ixv26hl wrote
Reply to comment by JKUAN108 in A study of NFL games during the 2020 season suggests a link between attendance and COVID spikes in surrounding counties 14 and 21 days later. The inferred connection held strongest for games attended by 20,000-plus fans by Wagamaga
However, this result may (and should) prompt further research to confirm or refute that. This is exactly the sort of thing public health officials and medical professionals need to be looking at, to inform health protocols for large gatherings and analyze the cost/benefit of not only health protocols at the event (what works, what doesn’t) but also whether an event should be held at all.
It would also be very interesting to see how the numbers differ for disease with airborne spread vs contact spread, as having some baseline data could provide valuable early input into determining how the next novel pathogen is spread.
We also need a really robust, anonymous, and automatic contact tracing system. The one Apple and others have implemented is pretty solid, but that whole process is currently infected with politics.
bkydx t1_ixvjot3 wrote
Previous research that looked at 6 times amount of data showed no increase in covid due to NFL and NCAA games with ~10,000 people.
This data was taking during the worst of the Beta variant and is associating the spike caused by the SARS2 mutation to NFL stadiums which is beyond dumb.
Does anyone with a brain think that .0001% of the population is having a 200% effect on the spread of covid?
No the average NFL fan did not contribute to 2,000,000% more covid because they sat in an outdoor stadium one time.
the_varky t1_ixvo7a8 wrote
This study is looking at the county level (as well as surrounding area). Are you implying there are 20 billion (20,000 / 0.0001%) people in the county(ies) surrounding an NFL stadium?
cyberentomology t1_ixvx5kn wrote
Gosh, it’s almost like different variants had different thresholds for contagion or something.
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