Submitted by shamansufi t3_yr0p7h in nyc
DC25NYC t1_ivrklht wrote
2018- Trump is president. Enthusiastic democrats.
2022- Biden is president. Enthusiastic republicans
It’s all cyclical. Everyone knows this.
BasedAlliance935 t1_ivrkzsa wrote
Obviously whenever a president of a political party opposite of your is elected, you can expect higher voter turnout of supporters backing the opposite political party, especially in the midterms
werdnak84 t1_ivrxfnj wrote
Midterm results usually favor whatever party the current President doesn't belong to.
StOlaf85 t1_ivs0b9e wrote
This comment is correct. Plus Trump was particularly polarizing which drove even more voters to the polls. The article even states this. To compare the two and make assumptions about Hochul or the Democratic Party is unfair. Yes, there are issues with the dem machine in New York, But this is all about minority party enthusiasm and turnout.
BootyMasterJon t1_ivs6pxx wrote
This doesn’t exactly check out if you look at Schumer’s percentages. He won by a much larger margin then Hochul did. This is trademark ticket splitting where it appears there were a good amount of Schumer-Zeldin voters. We’ll have to wait for exit polls for a better reason why this occurred, but I’d bet the rhetoric on crime played a big factor.
Rottimer t1_ivtgk7o wrote
I bet most people on this sub couldn’t tell me who Schumer’s opponent was without looking it up. It was a very different race.
oppositegeorge t1_ivwezvz wrote
The first time I saw the guy's name was when I looked at the ballot.
averageuhbear t1_ivu1eju wrote
Josh Shapiro won by more than double the percentage Hochul did in a Biden +1 state. Look at Whitmer, Evers and Tim Walz as well.
This is not the reason NY Dems blew it.
bjnono001 t1_ivs0vb6 wrote
Sure, agreed in conventional wisdom. But NYS Dems underperformed compared to how the rest of the country's Dems did bar Florida.
RecommendationOld525 t1_ivs4i2t wrote
While not incorrect at all, there are other factors that I think are still worth taking into account. But this is probably the biggest factor.
BiblioPhil t1_ivth4n5 wrote
No no, I'm pretty sure it's my copium-fueled narrative about how conservatives successfully tricked convinced Asian NYers to voter for them.
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