Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

Used-Engineering4996 t1_iu7s2n9 wrote

Reply to comment by _Maxolotl in NYC PBA gives Democrat Kathy Hochul $25K while holding out on Lee Zeldin by F_T_N_32

Yup. 538 is giving Zeldin a 3% chance of winning. I think his odds are probably a bit higher, maybe around 7-10%, but he’s almost certainly not going to win.

12

Show-Me-Your-Moves t1_iu8hik8 wrote

Crazy thing is, New York was probably very winnable for Republicans this year. They just needed a candidate with a moderate opinion on abortion and the balls to tell Trump to fuck off...instead they nominated this weirdo.

43

amznthrownaway1 t1_iu9vne3 wrote

If Zeldin just distanced himself from crazy Trump crowd, he would win.

15

F4ilsafe t1_iu8ou1s wrote

I just think back to 2016 and the reported odds between Hillary and Donald. . . this is looking awfully familiar.

−6

hannibalbaracka t1_iu8w4xu wrote

Trump had a 30% chance to win in 2016. That’s just a bit different than 3%

21

amznthrownaway1 t1_iu9v3nd wrote

And don't forget Comey going a national stage right before the election saying he found more secret e-mails and was investigating them still (which turned out to be perfectly normal emails and nothing nefarious). That changed the entire vibe of the election.

8