Submitted by stevemilk t3_10atg01 in nottheonion
themeatbridge t1_j47qcu0 wrote
Reply to comment by UndesiredEffect in UFO reports rise to 510, not aliens but still a threat to US by stevemilk
It's like the birthday paradox. If you have 60 people in a room, it's almost guaranteed that two people will share a birthday. But if you are in that room, it's unlikely that you will share a birthday with anyone.
Likewise, in the vast universe, through all of time, it is almost certain that the conditions for life resulted in space-faring intelligence, and because spacetime is so big, it's even likely that two of those travelers crossed paths. It's likely happened many times.
But also because of the size of spacetime, it is extremely unlikely to ever cross paths with another space traveling species in our lifetime. In terms of odds, imagine the odds of a baby being born with a birthmark in the shape of the winning lottery numbers, and then divide those odds by the limit approaching infinity.
So yes it is absurd to suggest that a weird thing in the sky must be from another planet, when we know that there are other terrestrial people working on building covert flying machines trying to spy on us.
It would be like watching your roommate walk over to the thermostat and turn on the air conditioner, and then saying "Brrr, it just got chilly. Must be a ghost in here."
UndesiredEffect t1_j47w67g wrote
But to only take the last 50 years worth of sightings and dismiss the rest doesn't make sense. Things have been seen in our skies since ancient times- it didnt start happening one day in the 50's.
Granted a lot of it was probably prosaic normal phenom that they didn't yet have the tools to understand, however there have been similar experiences with similar beings experienced in different parts of the world in different time periods. Not only that, but understanding the nature of our defense departments is basically: we won't say anything about anything unless we have decided it's more worthwhile to do so. They could have simply alluded to it being top secret technology, and that would have been the end of it. Heck, they've been saying since the 60-70's they have the technology to 'take ET home'. If you read Day After Roswell, by Colonel Corso, he's stated that the government basically gave this tech to private enterprise and told them to reverse engineer it and that the government would buy back whatever they made. Out of the hands of any law like FOIA, and still getting what they wanted.
Check out Lue Elizondo and AATIP. He was the director of the program and has gone on record about a great many things. His interview with Curt Jaimungal's Theory of Everything is a really good one to watch.
If another country has technology capable of the things that have been witnessed and caught on camera/radar, then I doubt they would be short-sighted enough to fly them brazenly and openly around our craft and systems in such ways as they have. It would not only negate any manner of surprise, but would also only encourage rapid technological development to counter said edge. And this technology could in an instant change the world.
Did you know that out of nearly 144* investigated sightings since 2004, the government could only positively identify one. That's incredible, given our capabilities especially in our own airspace.
"A senior U.S. government official said ahead of the report's release Friday that, "We have no clear indications that there is any nonterrestrial explanation for them — but we will go wherever the data takes us."(fair to say)
The official added: “We do not have any data that indicates that any of these unidentified air phenomena are part of a foreign collection program nor do we have any data that is indicative of a major technological advancement by a potential adversary." (weird af to say from a US techological capabilities standpoint--basically saying they have no* evidence that these unidentified things in our airspace are from another country either)
Edit 2: Here's one article about the recent legislation passing that would allow many people to go on record regarding projects related to UAP.
I dont know if it's ET, but its certainly something intriguing. I invite skeptics to do what I did and spend time looking into it in earnest.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/13/us/ufo-new-mexico-congress.html?smid=tw-share
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