At this point? No. They passed that point of no return when they failed to capture Kyiv.

There is a lot we still don't know behind the fog of war. The talks of Russian build-up in the north is worrying, but the fact Russia is so slow to update strategy makes me think if they make another push, they'll again be bogged down. The only way to properly invade is to first establish air supremacy over a long campaign of bombing and shelling, and Russia failed that point from the get-go.

But, I still think Russia would be doing better if they changed their strategy. They could change their "victory" conditions to suit their capabilities, and thus achieve some kind of "victory", but even those token objectives they keep laying forth turn out to be pipe dreams. They've taken months to barely capture Soledar, a town with a pre-war population of 10,000. I've been in small towns of about that much, and it's kinda sad the Russians expend so many lives over such a small and strategically worthless target.

IDK, I'm mostly just synthesizing information from the many military bloggers I've started following since Feb 22. The key takeaway I get from them is the situation is fluid, evolving, and there is much we don't know about either sides' operations. But from a general political POV, Russia most certainly fucked up from the get-go, and have doubled down on those fucked strategies.