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phadrus56 t1_jaahfbj wrote

Reply to comment by blackbirdblackbird1 in An advert in a Japanese smoking room that is pro-smoking propaganda. by session6

Minor health impact. People who don't smoke have a 3% chance of getting lung cancer. Smoking doubles that. To 6 %. 94% chance of not getting it.

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blackbirdblackbird1 t1_jaakpct wrote

Interesting numbers. Do you have any citations?

Here's what I was able to find: American Cancer Society: 2023 SPECIAL SECTION: LUNG CANCER

Page 32: > The lifetime risk of developing lung cancer is approximately 6.2% among men and 5.8% among women, or 1 in 16 men and 1 in 17 women during their lifetime (Table 6).

> However, these probabilities are based on lung cancer occurrence in the general population so the risk is substantially higher for those with a history of smoking. 15

Page 37: >The primary risk factor for lung cancer is cigarette smoking, which accounts for about 80% of lung cancer cases and deaths (Figure 4).1 Cigarette smoking increases the risk of lung cancer 25-fold in both men and women compared to people who never smoked.15

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phadrus56 t1_jaazm0s wrote

This doesn't refute what I said. The numbers are close.

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blackbirdblackbird1 t1_jaazu3b wrote

Just admit you're in denial (or you're intentionally spreading incorrect information (aka... propaganda))

Double your numbers for non-smokers and smokers are 25x more likely is close?

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phadrus56 t1_jac1rtj wrote

Life time risk for men is 6.2%.

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blackbirdblackbird1 t1_jae8l2x wrote

> Life time risk for the male population, on average, is 6.2%. FTFY

This does not mean smokers have only a 6.2% chance of getting lung cancer.

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