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Belzeturtle t1_j63n7zn wrote

Reply to comment by deaconsc in ELI5: How is donating equipment to participate in war, not considered going to war? by lloyd705

>it would make the war much easier and with the latest promised delivery of modern tanks it may cross the line.

You mean following NATO's shock-and-awe conventional retaliation? They are not that dumb.

Putin is not going to use a tactical nuke because (a) Modi and Xi told him in private that's their red line and they won't support him if he does, (b) see above -- loss of Black Sea fleet at minimum, (c) a decapitation strike against him is then on the table.

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bernarddit t1_j63rdyh wrote

How do you know they told him such in private?

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Belzeturtle t1_j646cd9 wrote

"In private" in the sense "outside of their TV and press including it in their message". Those of us who live outside the Chinese and Russian infobubbles know.

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