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deaconsc t1_j63mmkt wrote

well, the fear is that Russia will use their tactical nuclear weapons, which will resolve in a retaliation of the US (they officially said so) which will be an act of war. (please note,the US said they will use conventional retaliation)

And to be fair, Russian generals probably want to use these weapons, it would make the war much easier and with the latest promised delivery of modern tanks it may cross the line.

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Belzeturtle t1_j63n7zn wrote

>it would make the war much easier and with the latest promised delivery of modern tanks it may cross the line.

You mean following NATO's shock-and-awe conventional retaliation? They are not that dumb.

Putin is not going to use a tactical nuke because (a) Modi and Xi told him in private that's their red line and they won't support him if he does, (b) see above -- loss of Black Sea fleet at minimum, (c) a decapitation strike against him is then on the table.

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bernarddit t1_j63rdyh wrote

How do you know they told him such in private?

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Belzeturtle t1_j646cd9 wrote

"In private" in the sense "outside of their TV and press including it in their message". Those of us who live outside the Chinese and Russian infobubbles know.

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