Submitted by Reason-Local t3_11de5ag in explainlikeimfive
Harbinger2001 t1_jaawmdy wrote
If you ask “what is the chance I roll a 6 on this one die roll?” That never changes at 16.7%.
But if you were to ask ‘what if I roll twice and get at least one 6?” That’s 30%
Chance on 3 rolls? 42%
6 rolls? 67%
But if you rolled 5 times and didn’t get a 6 yet, the chance your last roll is a 6 remains 16.7%.
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