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bigsanity t1_j1j7tlj wrote

Why is it going up and down?

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NotEnoughWave t1_j1jst8y wrote

Because there's always a random component to any single piece of data. That random component gets smoothed out when you take averages.

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navidshrimpo t1_j1lp735 wrote

Between any given day, the amount of murders that happen is going to fluctuate a lot due to the relative rarity of murders. If you average lots of these days, or 365 of them in the case of a year, it converges toward an average.

You can think of each day as a "sample". Lots of days is a larger sample. This convergence is explained by the central limit theorem.

https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_limit_theorem

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