MetricT OP t1_ixv0g9o wrote
Reply to comment by jbrandon in [OC] - US Yield Curve, mean yield curve spread, and percent of all yield curve combinations that are inverted by MetricT
The "will we/won't we have a recession" indicator is pointing solidly towards "we will". That said, signs are a recession will be relatively mild since it's "artificially" created by the Fed rather than a normal business cycle recession. I'm more concerned about the recovery than the recession, as I suspect it is likely to be slow and painful.
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