Submitted by terrykrohe t3_xxnkl0 in dataisbeautiful
Comments
terrykrohe OP t1_ird1ob0 wrote
best-fit lines, correlations: infant mortality vs 'predictor' variables
- Purpose
In order to 'understand' the non-random, top/bottom, Rep/Dem differentiation of metric values, eight "response" metrics are correlated with three "predictor" metrics. This post presents the 'response' variable opioid dispensing rate vs the three 'predictor' variables.
... the eight "response" metrics: GDP, state taxes; suicide rate, opioids; life expectancy, infant mortality; incarceration, state+local ed spending;
... the three "predictor" metrics: 'rural-urban', evangelical, diversity* - the "big picture"
i) There is a non-random, top/bottom, Dem/Rep pattern. Patterns have reasons/causes and are mathematical.
ii) Rep states are always on the negative side (less GDP, more suicides, lower life expectancy, etc).
iii) How did 150 million voters, acting individually, separate the fifty states into two such disparate groups?
iv) is there a "predictive" metric or combination of metrics which can be used to explain the characteristic Rep/Dem differences seen in the data? - general comments
i) The plots present means, standard deviations, the 'best-fit' lines, and r-values for Rep and Dem states.
ii) The evangelical metric most closely correlates with infant mortality (Dem r = 0.49, Rep r = 0.42).
iii) Both Rep and Dem states' r-values, using the diversity* predictor metric, are essentially equal.
iv) It is curious that as Rep best-fit line becomes more 'urban', infant mortality increases; yet, the standard expectation is that as 'urbanity' increases, infant mortality would decrease as is seen in the Dem best-fit line. However, the absolute values of the r-values is small, indicating 'noisy' data.
v) The evangelical plot for both Rep and Dem states: increasing evangelical % increases infant mortality.
vi) The diversity* plot for both Rep and Dem states: increasing diversity* decreases infant mortality. - Similar plots using the three 'predictor' metrics have been posted:
for GDP (20Jan), state taxes (17Feb), suicide rate (17Mar), opioid dispensing rate (26May), and life expectancy (18Aug).
Me_Melissa t1_irf415u wrote
You really should have included in the graphic that each dot was a state.
Me_Melissa t1_irf46nm wrote
The data is categorized by state, so the R/D distinction is determined by the election result of the state, not by talking to any parents.
Me_Melissa t1_irf4as7 wrote
Can this data be redone at the county level?
terrykrohe OP t1_irf916g wrote
... yeah, you are right
terrykrohe OP t1_iri414b wrote
I am sure that it can, but ... defining the 'predictor' metrics becomes more difficult and, therefore, more prone to "what about ...." arguments which devolve to denialism.
... some person with more courage than I would need to do it and it would be pleasurable to read, I am sure.
[deleted] t1_ird1cjx wrote
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