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Fluorescent_Tip t1_jcfmczw wrote

No, that’s not how that works. But if you really want to do it the wrong way, it’s still +1 for natural.

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SafeExpress3210 t1_jcfmn19 wrote

  • low confidence in natural
  • low to moderate confidence in lab leak
  • ‘low to moderate’ > ‘low’
−1

Fluorescent_Tip t1_jcfnhuk wrote

Dude.

4 agencies claim low for natural. 1 agency claims low for lab leak, 1 moderate.

4 > 2

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SafeExpress3210 t1_jcfonqu wrote

So all confidence for natural is low and half confidence for lab leak is moderate

−1

SafeExpress3210 t1_jcfpymu wrote

So the theory with the most confidence was that it was a lab leak.

Then it comes down to which sources of evidence the intel committees give the most weight to. The most relevant sources of evidence imho really point in one direction but if you choose to follow the evidence given by sellouts then that is your prerogative.

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