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Imaginary_Scene2493 t1_jdwsajk wrote

Reply to comment by PyrrhoTheSkeptic in Age distribution of passenger cars in Europe [OC] by mrscript_lt

Or we reach a point, say 20 years from now, where gasoline distribution becomes so limited that it’s no longer economical to keep a gas powered car.

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PyrrhoTheSkeptic t1_jdwvc1o wrote

I don't think we are going to reach that point in 20 years from now. I think it will be much later on, unless government regulations require them to close down.

Right now, the EU is planning on allowing the selling of new gasoline cars up through 2034. Since it is 2023 now, if gasoline were no longer distributed 20 years from now (2043), there would be cars that are only 9 years old when gasoline would no longer be distributed in the EU. That would cause significant hardship for poorer people who cannot afford new cars.

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Notice, even in Luxembourg, which has the highest percentage of newer cars (according to the chart of the opening post), over 25% have cars over 9 years old (it is 25% who have cars over 10 years old, so it must be more than 25% for those having cars over 9 years old). All of the other countries have a higher percentage of older cars on the road.

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In the U.S., where I live, it is likely to be longer that gasoline will be widely distributed than will be the case in the EU, so I expect to not run into that issue with my current car.

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krichuvisz t1_jdy0wba wrote

At one point EV kits for used cars are going to become very cheap. Or carbon free gas alternatives.

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reduhl t1_je082su wrote

Ya I can see carbon neutral fuels coming on line. The airline industry needs this to function. I can see it carrying over to the automarket. In europe it will probably be truly carbon neutral or negative.

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