[OC] AI researchers' expected impact of superintelligence on humanity in the long runSubmitted by bitmoresalt t3_126vnvp in dataisbeautiful
mil24havoc t1_jeb5l9z wrote
How do you get the subdivisions on the right given the category labels on the left?
How can 10% of optimists say AI will be bad or extremely bad long term?
Clonedtobeyou t1_jeb67qa wrote
Maybe they are optimistic about human extinction
bitmoresalt OP t1_jeb6zmb wrote
Even the optimists are unsure, so they still give about 10% chance of bad effects (on average). Similarly for the pessimist.
The data actually works in the other way: the right is the raw data, and the left subdivision is based on that.
Original visualization (which is also pretty beautiful but perhaps a bit harder to interpret): https://twitter.com/KatjaGrace/status/1635280174748164096/photo/1
torchma t1_jebbfa1 wrote
In other words it's arbitrary groupings. The original visualization doesn't suffer from that.
BernieEcclestoned t1_jebn0zn wrote
That is actually beautiful data, thanks.
xopranaut t1_jeb7ce5 wrote
Not OP, but here’s what I assume is the report: https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/
It must be tough being a researcher in a field that you think will bring about the extinction of the human race.
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