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RSomnambulist t1_j9tz9n3 wrote

Reply to comment by InspectorG-007 in In the US, the gap between Black and White Homeownership is widening with each generation [OC] by Apartment_List

The 2050 figure is 89%. I don't see people moving out of cities, just into smaller, cheaper ones. I'd be willing to bet that the result of that will be the urbanization of more almost-suburban areas in the future--more cities, rather than people living outside of one.

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InspectorG-007 t1_j9u4zpr wrote

Possibly. Small Modular Reactors and Automated delivery systems could offset that.

Cost will be a limiting factor. Cities get exponentially more expensive as they build 'upwards' not just in dollar terms but also resource.

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RSomnambulist t1_j9u73f7 wrote

I think a lot of this depends on if we ever actually get decent public transport like more trains.

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InspectorG-007 t1_j9u7k7q wrote

In the 15 minute cities, sure. But out beyond?

Very unrealistic. How many billions will it cost City A with population 7,000 to City B population 2500 30 miles away?

At best, IMO, electric vehicles inside the big cities, hybrids and ICE out in the boonies.

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