Submitted by Hyper-Fluid t3_118ac02 in dataisbeautiful
Comments
Hyper-Fluid OP t1_j9g0w6i wrote
At this point I just feel bad for the Blackhawks (and the Ducks)
UsefulEngine1 t1_j9g30am wrote
So you're saying to win you have to score more goals than the other guys
Hyper-Fluid OP t1_j9g61tl wrote
Actually, on average, no! You could imagine losing by 5 goals for 4 games (-20 differential) and then winning by 1 goal for 6 games (+6 differential). On average you are -14 diff, but a winning record.
As a counter example, consider the Raiders (NFL) last preseason game and first 6 regular season games from this past season. Their scoring differential was +20, but their record was 3-4. I'm sure there are more extreme real life examples when you can have a highly positive (or negative) scoring differential, along with a counterintuitive record.
FWIW, the Canes and the Kings are actually overperforming (they are winning more games than you would expect, given their scoring differential), so far this season.
H_Lunulata t1_j9g7248 wrote
Don't worry. Soon the Leafs will be losing the playoffs and all will be normal again.
NarcissusLovesEcho t1_j9g7axj wrote
In baseball, this is called the Pythagorean W-L stat. It correlates very strongly with actual W-L but not perfectly. Some teams over/underperform.
TargetMost8136 t1_j9gcr7v wrote
Doesn’t the NHL have a hard salary cap?
Hyper-Fluid OP t1_j9gdvgd wrote
Cool, I haven't heard of that before!
Edit: Actually I just ran through calculating this stat. The comparison with points is pretty much the same as the above, as you might expect. Comparing this stat to the goal differential though; every team is on a tight line with the exception of the ducks, who are underperforming (relative to this statistic). Plots here: https://twitter.com/Super_Fluid_/status/1628115662261587968
[deleted] t1_j9gn51t wrote
[removed]
merkaba_462 t1_j9gwn9d wrote
Bruins are going to clinch by early March while Metro goes full thunderdome, as if it isn't always the thunderdome...but I mean FULL...until April.
rug1998 t1_j9i409w wrote
Good teams score more goals on the opponent than the opponent scores on them.
BBOoff t1_j9js2hd wrote
No it won't.
We already know that Boston is coming first, Toronto will play Tampa (home ice to be decided), and the only thing left to play for is which team gets to lose to Boston in R1.
merkaba_462 t1_j9k3vl3 wrote
Different divisions.
AaronnotAaron t1_j9ka0c3 wrote
love detroit being absolutely mid
H_Lunulata t1_j9g08er wrote
Montreal, Chicago, Detroit... you're O6 teams... we expect you to be further up and right!