Volcic-tentacles t1_j83dhdy wrote on February 11, 2023 at 9:26 AM

I only started watching NFL this year (in week 11 of the 2022 season). It took me a while to decode the labels, which require quite a bit of specialist knowledge of the NFL and there is no key. Marks off for that.

Once I tuned in though, I did find this interesting. How were the probabilities worked out though? Where is the background on this?

tree-of-thought OP t1_j83nhkt wrote on February 11, 2023 at 11:49 AM

You’re right the labels are not very accessible to people without quite a bit of NFL domain knowledge. I had a hard time getting relevant info into them without them getting too long or taking too much real estate in the overall viz…but of course there should be a key. Thanks for the feedback!

nflfastr provides the win probabilities. the calculate win probability function docs have more info!

Thank you again for the comment!