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Rfksemperfi t1_j6x08l7 wrote

What does this mean for someone living in NE us?

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Mathew_Barlow OP t1_j6x187n wrote

We're going to have some "old fashioned" cold weather. In the Boston area, likelihood of dangerous wind chills from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon. If you're going to be outside or traveling, check your local NWS forecast (weather.gov) and be prepared.

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Mike2220 t1_j70g6sx wrote

It means the abnormally warm winter we've been having will feel like a normal winter for 2 days and then go back to being abnormally warm again. Really don't think it'll disrupt much

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MayonaiseBaron t1_j6x8h67 wrote

Not much, we've been here before. Consisntant 0⁰ days used to feel like the norm when I was a little kid, now any mention of negative temps feels like a big todo.

Its New England, not Texas. We can handle a bit of a chill.

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Fish_On_again t1_j6xpzii wrote

When were you a little kid? I grew up in the '80s and '90s in upstate NY, and it was always interesting to see if we would actually get a white Christmas, or have enough ice to drive our trucks on the lakes. Then we had those crazy cold winters in the 2000s and 2010s (Even canandaigua Lake froze!), now it seems like we're back to the winter weather of the '90s and late '80s.

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Fish_On_again t1_j6xypql wrote

I'm actually really looking forward to reading those links, I don't have the time to now. I do know that my area just set a record, this is the first January we've ever had with no daytime highs under 30°.

Edit:. Ugh warmer and more snow.

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Fish_On_again t1_j6ygta0 wrote

Thought this was interesting

>The wintertime NAO also exhibits significant multi-decadal variability (Hurrell 1995, Chelliah and Bell 2005). For example, the negative phase of the NAO dominated the circulation from the mid-1950's through the 1978/79 winter. During this approximately 24-year interval, there were four prominent periods of at least three years each in which the negative phase was dominant and the positive phase was notably absent. In fact, during the entire period the positive phase was observed in the seasonal mean only three times, and it never appeared in two consecutive years.

>An abrupt transition to recurring positive phases of the NAO then occurred during the 1979/80 winter, with the atmosphere remaining locked into this mode through the 1994/95 winter season. During this 15-year interval, a substantial negative phase of the pattern appeared only twice, in the winters of 1984/85 and 1985/ 86. However, November 1995 - February 1996 (NDJF 95/96) was characterized by a return to the strong negative phase of the NAO. Halpert and Bell (1997; their section 3.3) recently documented the conditions accompanying this transition to the negative phase of the NAO.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/teledoc/nao.shtml

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Lohikaarme27 t1_j6yjpt5 wrote

That link is really interesting. Especially where it says a negative NAO is typically associated with below-average temps in the Eastern US

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Fish_On_again t1_j6ykl39 wrote

Yeah, even though for this cold snap it's quite positive, and our newest warm up next week coincides with the NAO going neutral.

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MayonaiseBaron t1_j6xrc46 wrote

New Hampshire in the 90s/00s. Suprised your lakes don't freeze over every winter, I thought upstate NY was colder than over here. Lake Winnipesaukee freezes over pretty damn solid every year, usually enough to take a bobhouse out.

The lake usually doesn't "ice out" until April, but its been getting earlier every year. Used to work on the Mt Washington as a deck officer and one year we had guys jetskiing in late March.

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Fish_On_again t1_j6xrx4m wrote

Definitely colder for you guys. We get a lot of warm air off the ocean and Lake Ontario.

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Lohikaarme27 t1_j6xy4ku wrote

Our lakes do generally freeze over every winter. Just depends on the lake

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