Infamous-Client-2528 t1_j6nj9cf wrote
God forbid some development ruin the charm of the beautiful south shore plaza! perish the thought!
also; I cannot handle the fact that they're wanting to charge $2500 for a one bedroom in braintree in the middle of transportation nowhere.
amos106 OP t1_j6nm0rt wrote
The developer wants to charge that because that's what the market value for rentals is. The market's value of rentals is set that way because there are more people looking for housing than there are actual units to rent.
3720-To-One t1_j6o2go5 wrote
I don’t know why this is so hard for people to grasp.
I swear people think that these developers/landlords just pull numbers out of their asses.
oby100 t1_j6o8f0e wrote
That is what people think lol. There is SOME cause for concern about price fixing on rents, but again, the only way to combat high rent prices is to increase supply
jWalkerFTW t1_j6oe7ud wrote
So when, in this long line of supplying the wealthy flooding into Boston with housing, will we get around to supplying housing to the low-income who live here? What do we do to help them in the meantime? And how do we prevent the increase in housing simply attracting more wealthy people in a never-ending stream?
EDIT: ITT idiots who think I’m suggesting we don’t build new housing at all
Squish_the_android t1_j6of0gp wrote
Increasing the housing supply of any kind brings down prices for everyone.
jWalkerFTW t1_j6ok55o wrote
Sure, if you ignore the effects of affluent housing turning the surrounding area more affluent, attracting even more affluence and pushing out low-income folks
dafdiego777 t1_j6om31w wrote
the filtering effect is real - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094119022001048?via%3Dihub
There's also a new study that shows new housing does lead to lower prices in the immediate area:
3720-To-One t1_j6ojfl3 wrote
So when there is a limited supply of housing, who do you think is able to pay more for that rough around the edges Allston apartment?
Some working class person, or a software engineer?
When those “luxury” units get built, affluent people flock to those, vacating less affluent spaces.
And those affluent people who come here from out of town, were coming here regardless.
So your choices are to build more housing, or watch prices continue to soar.
ik1nky t1_j6ok48x wrote
Well we have inclusionary policies, so all new market rate housing over 9 units brings affordable housing along with it. We also have good evidence that both market rate and affordable housing construction decreases displacement.
jWalkerFTW t1_j6oktaw wrote
Oh for sure it’s a balance. Although “affordable housing” according to the City of Boston is 70% AMI which is completely asinine and puts a big damper on the “inclusionary” policies
amos106 OP t1_j6ot3cz wrote
The fact that affordable housing is 70% of the Area's Median Income is likely due to survivor bias. If the market doesn't have enough housing supply then the prices will go up until they consume larger and larger portions of people's income. Eventually the people on the lower end of the income spectrum are forced out because the housing system is market based and the winners and losers are chosen according to who can afford rent. Inclusionary polices cannot solve a supply problem, and the market but its very design will leave low income (often synonymous with underprivileged and marginalized) people holding the bag.
jWalkerFTW t1_j6owvqh wrote
You can just lower the required AMI percentage though. I mean, that’s literally what urban planners are advocating for. This isn’t a “well the market is God and we can’t do anything about it” situation.
EDIT: I think you might be confused. The cities official requirement to meet the “affordable housing” baseline is 70% AMI. That’s the rule. I’m not talking about a market result.
amos106 OP t1_j6p0juo wrote
Yeah that's true and it would reduce the cost of living for those who do make it into the program, but the affordable housing program is already overloaded as it is and the winners and losers are chosen by a lottery system. Even if the AMI requirement is lowered it would just put more stress on the affordable housing program without actually creating any additional housing, and as it stands the program is already being forced to turn people away. Unless more housing is built the program will further solidify itself as a poverty trap since increasing your income would drop you off a welfare cliff, and the market prices will only keep rising until more units are built.
jWalkerFTW t1_j6p2ag0 wrote
Well yeah, again I’m not saying we shouldn’t build more housing at all
dxbaileyy t1_j6p1voj wrote
The private sector has no reason to build low income housing. If you factor in the cost of land, labor, and materials then there would be little ability to charge below market rates. Low income housing can really only be built by the state or city unless there is some magical developer who is willing to lower their profits.
The addition of newer units to the market should eventually lower the price of older ones. It may not be a perfect solution but it will still help.
Finally, to address how do we stop the “never-ending stream of wealthy people” moving here- we don’t. These people will continue to come here regardless of how much housing there is but if there aren’t enough newer/higher end units then they will opt for the older ones like they do now.
jWalkerFTW t1_j6p2gbn wrote
Except there are already requirements for public developers to include affordable housing. The required percentage of AMI just needs to be lowered
[deleted] t1_j6oex3k wrote
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RoaminRonin13 t1_j6ojcld wrote
There’s also the cost to build this, which won’t be cheap for the developer.
Everyone is always pissed at the greedy evil 1980s movie villain developer, but the reality is that they’re not necessarily making a killing (at least right away) on a new build $2500/month 1BR.
Don’t get me wrong, plenty of developers are greedy bastards. But that this sub thinks the market will magically produce “affordable” housing on its own is a joke - everyone building this new housing needs to get paid, or it’s not going to get built. That’s going to set some kind of floor on how low the rents / sale prices can realistically be on these new buildings, unless the government steps in to help reduce costs.
Assuming that 1BR is ~900sf, and a sf cost of ~$300, it’s about $270k to build. At $2500/month that’s ~ 9 years for the developer property manager to get their money back on the unit. Over a decade, then, from when they made their initial investment in the property pre-construction. They can reduce that $300/sf cost, of course, to pull those numbers down - my point is simply that this isn’t the magical money printing machine for the developers and property managers that everyone seems to think it is.
If it was there would be more multi-family housing being built, zoning and NIMBY problems or not. You find ways through those things if the money is right (look at all the lab space we’ve built).
UltravioletClearance t1_j6nnpb8 wrote
The apartments in the industrial park sandwiched between the Braintree Split and Burgin Parkway exits are $2,600 a month.
Infamous-Client-2528 t1_j6nnt1w wrote
hard pass
tacknosaddle t1_j6nwqk4 wrote
>in the middle of transportation nowhere
A shuttle can jump on the highway and be at Quincy Adams station in a few minutes, even with rush hour traffic.
MyStackRunnethOver t1_j6oshjf wrote
I mean, that's what happens to the market rate when nothing gets built...
SharpCookie232 t1_j6phbij wrote
Eventually it will start to go down because the population is contracting.
[deleted] t1_j6pcb7q wrote
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KayakerMel t1_j6omn5b wrote
My issue is every single new development is freaking "luxury." That's why that Braintree one bedroom has a ridiculous price.
fuckitillmakeanother t1_j6osdzd wrote
Luxury housing isn't luxury because it's nice, it's just luxury because it's new. Places that currently are not considered luxury were considered luxury when they were new. Someday this new luxury housing will be considered old and cheap,but only if we keep building more.
No one is going to invest money into building housing and market it as 'subpar housing' or 'eh it's okay housing'.
The cost of those units has more to do with the lack of other housing in the area rather than any relation to the quality of the housing.
Significant_Shake_71 t1_j6pe7kz wrote
Many people still can’t comprehend that. If they did they probably be more outraged at the NIMBYs and local zoning laws
thewhaler t1_j6nwvsk wrote
Would make sense if there was a redline stop near there....but nope
CoffeeContingencies t1_j6nxe4g wrote
There are multiple busses that go to the plaza and then to the T station (Quincy center and Braintree)
CoffeeContingencies t1_j6nx99q wrote
There’s an elementary school right behind where they want to put these. And the school system is already strained (and teachers working without a contract!)
AboyNamedBort t1_j6o4r2p wrote
Oh no an elementary school! Can't have housing near one of those! Everyone knows putting a new building by an elementary school causes 100% of those kids to start doing hardcore drugs immediately!
Squish_the_android t1_j6ofr8o wrote
That's not the concern.
Dense housing in good school districts attract a lot of families that want those schools.
The problem is that apartment complexes like this don't pay in as much as property taxes as other kinds of housing and by the nature of their size they increase the number of students by a significant amount over a short period of time.
Most school districts aren't sitting on a ton of excess capacity.
It is a valid concern that most towns fail to deal with well.
Edit: Also the teachers working without a contract comment is noteable. It's another school district playing hardball with the teachers union because they think the union won't vote to strike. It's a sure sign of a bad school committee that doesn't want to increase school spending.
man2010 t1_j6ojq9v wrote
180 of the 495 housing units in this proposed development would be over 55 units. Those people will be adding to the town's tax base without adding children to the school system.
Squish_the_android t1_j6omhys wrote
At a rate that's lower than other forms of housing.
Also that leaves 315 units for potential families getting dumped into one school district.
I'm not saying it can't be dealt with, just that it's a concern.
man2010 t1_j6on010 wrote
I don't think very many families would be piling into the studio/1bd apartments in these buildings, which leaves only some 2bds. It's not a genuine concern so much as it's a common way for towns to block new development.
CoffeeContingencies t1_j6oh2j7 wrote
Braintree schools are already bursting at the seams with kids. With 500 apartments there will certainly be more kids entering the system. The concern is that Braintree doesn’t currently have the capacity for it.
But also, it is literally within feet of that school. The town closed an access road from the plaza to the school in the early 2000’s because of traffic concerns then. Added people could make it an issue again
man2010 t1_j6ojyem wrote
180 of these units would be for people over 55, meaning they wouldn't be adding children to the school system while they would be adding tax revenue to expand school capacity.
ik1nky t1_j6olp0g wrote
Not to mention the other building is all 1/2 bed units. I don't think we'll see many families in these buildings. Of course even if we did expect a lot of families, the project should still be built.
ik1nky t1_j6ol57o wrote
Looking at their enrollment numbers, it appears Braintree schools are down about 500 students from their peak in 2018.
CoffeeContingencies t1_j6ole9m wrote
I have kids in the district. The total numbers may be lower but that lower number isn’t reflected in the elementary school that this building is zoned in.
ik1nky t1_j6oly79 wrote
The data actually shows significantly reduced enrollment in the elementary schools.
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