If Trump had gotten blown out in 2020, graciously and promptly conceded, and spent the last 2 months focused on stimulus and vaccine rollout stuff, he probably would be a threat now.

Instead, he got blown out, denied it, and acted like a child with the whole thing culminating in January 6th. He left office with the highest disapproval rating over any president since Nixon resigned in disgrace. That MAGA base is always going to be there it's still a fringe minority of the population.