anotheronebytesdust t1_ivnn7aw wrote on November 9, 2022 at 7:21 AM

Reply to comment by NitronicFury in Republican Allan Fung concedes to Seth Magaziner in Rhode Island's 2nd District by therealDrA

Tbf I’m from this district and am pretty surprised he lost. Believe it or not, northern Rhode Island is MAGA country.

NitronicFury t1_ivnnqiz wrote on November 9, 2022 at 7:28 AM

Oh I know, I’m also from RI-02. I do live in one of the coastal blue towns, but if you drive five minutes north or west from the beach you see it gets pretty red really quick.

The thing is though between South County + 1/2 of Providence this race was 100% Magaziner’s to lose. And we’re starting to see the polling error giving Fung so much confidence is a nationwide trend as Democrats outperform House expectations

derpbeluga t1_ivo5twu wrote on November 9, 2022 at 11:38 AM

I wonder if it has anything to do with how these polls are conducted. I don't know a single person under 50 who has a land line or even answers their cell if they get a call from a number they don't recognize. If these polls are done by phone, then it would make sense that mostly republican voters participate.

Throwaway1231200001 t1_ivoq5my wrote on November 9, 2022 at 2:37 PM

I've been getting poll text message surveys since before the primaries so they don't just rely on the landline/unknown call game

derpbeluga t1_ivoqnb6 wrote on November 9, 2022 at 2:41 PM

Oh good the know. However, the same thing might be happening. I personally would never reply to a text message asking me about my political views. I would assume it would be similar to one of those fake "Should illegal immigrants receive stimulus checks, vote now" online polls that in reality are just ads to get you to donate money to some political candidate.

Older people might be more inclined to respond.

boulevardofdef t1_ivoodem wrote on November 9, 2022 at 2:25 PM

The problem for Republicans here is, as the saying goes, land doesn't vote. If you drive around Northern RI, you're going to see a lot of red and not a lot of blue. But that area is relatively sparsely populated. The population centers in Providence, Warwick and Cranston (where Fung is the popular former mayor and only won by 3 percent) make it very difficult for a Republican to win this district even if most of the land leans to the right.