>The seat is unlikely to go to Fung (though he may move or use his wife’s property to run) or another conservative

Fung has no chance. He just got blown out in CD-2 which has the larger chunk of the state's rural and suburban voters. CD-1 is like a +20 democratic district. It'd take an extraordinarily bad Democratic candidate and an extraordinarily good Republican one to have a snowball's chance in hell of even making this a close election.

The state GOP is in shambles and has no real good options to prop up, if they even try running someone for this seat.