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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lq7hv wrote

Reply to comment by Guygan in CMP and Spectrum Outages by exploremore617

Hence the last sentence. Hearing historical can be insightful.

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Guygan t1_j9lqv7p wrote

> Hearing historical can be insightful.

Not really.

Some major storms have zero outages. A minor dusting can send some truck into a pole and take out service for a day.

There’s no way to predict.

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kintokae t1_j9m1ssd wrote

This is what I found too. I bought my house in 2016 and that first year I I lost power every time the wind blew. I bought a generator and barely lose power long enough to fire it up. It’s totally in predictable.

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SnarknadOH t1_j9m7fum wrote

I’m sure your neighbors are thankful for your purchase

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StrikingExamination6 t1_j9m5i8o wrote

What he’s asking is if the power goes out during every storm. No need to be a turd

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Guygan t1_j9m5kvr wrote

That’s not what OP asked.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lwsdn wrote

What major storm has resulted in no outages in Maine?

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Guygan t1_j9lxrns wrote

In Saco? Plenty of them. I didn’t put them in my diary so o can’t tell you the dates.

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ecco-domenica t1_j9m6z48 wrote

Maine is a big place with varied geography, infrastructure, and weather. There's no one answer for the whole state. In the Saco area, these factors combine to make outages unpredictable.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9m78d7 wrote

One can I say the past 3 winters we’ve had x amount of major storms and have lost power x% and x% for just internet outage. I’m guessing the school system isn’t great in the area

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ecco-domenica t1_j9m7m5l wrote

You're quite demanding. You started out asking for people's experience in the area and when they gave you an honest answer about their experience that you didn't like, you decided you require compiled historical data with analysis. Does google not work on your laptop?

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9m7ppx wrote

It’s literally in my post text numb nuts. Sorry I had to give you a specific example so you could comprehend it. Also your one post you made was a googleable question, oh the irony.

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ecco-domenica t1_j9mi6hf wrote

Massachusetts sending us their best.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9mii0p wrote

Who dropped you as a child?

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cclambert95 t1_j9oqq2t wrote

It’s Saco, perhaps unfamiliar with the state but that far south and in a metropolitan area you’ll have fairly light winters as a whole. They keep up on it down south.

Live up near caribou? You would want a generator.

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SnarknadOH t1_j9m7sfr wrote

Cheers on doubling down on your approach. The school systems are good enough that folks learn the definition of random. I’ve held power and internet through ice storms and lost it for 2 sunny days because a drunk driver hit a pole. Consider it more susceptible to random events than say, Boston.

Figure out a backup system, and laugh to yourself when you never need it after you buy it.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lr8jo wrote

I’m asking about people’s experience in the area. Not really asking for a prediction about my specific service

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Guygan t1_j9lrir8 wrote

> people’s experience in the area

I lived in Saco for 20 years.

My experience is that it’s not predictable.

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[deleted] t1_j9luw96 wrote

You could easily give some kind of indication of how these things typically go, you're just being an ass for the sake of it.

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lantech t1_j9lwbsd wrote

> Some major storms have zero outages. A minor dusting can send some truck into a pole and take out service for a day.

That's how it typically goes. Much as I hate to say it, guygan is right.

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[deleted] t1_j9ly3j6 wrote

Yes but by that logic if someone asks you "what is someone in the US's life expectancy" then you can just say "oh no way of knowing a meteor could hit you on the head anytime impossible to tell"

It's not, the information is out there and we have an idea of how this shit goes.

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vikingenvy t1_j9m0we0 wrote

Why don’t you fucking get off your own ass and answer the OP’s question? You’re spending more time bitching about people rolling their eyes at this stupid question than in doing something yourself. FFS hahaha what a scrotum

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Guygan t1_j9lv64a wrote

> You could easily give some kind of indication of how these things typically go

No, I can’t easily do that. Because it’s not predictable and it “typically” doesn’t go any typical way.

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[deleted] t1_j9lvbw8 wrote

You can unless you're an idiot.

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Guygan t1_j9lwcsa wrote

> You can unless you’re an idiot

Please enlighten us as to how non-idiots can accurately predict internet outages in and entire city of 20,000 residents.

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[deleted] t1_j9lxvku wrote

You're in another comment telling this guy historical data is irrelevant - you should tell all the meteorologists who use historical data to try to predict that exact thing. You're being obtuse.

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Guygan t1_j9ly4pu wrote

Historical data isn’t used for weather forecasts. Current data and computer models are.

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[deleted] t1_j9lyerx wrote

It's used to predict power outages homie.

"When storm patterns look like this with a combination of wind, temperature and recent climate, we can expect 30k-50k outages" or whatever. Happens all the time.

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NetLibrarian t1_j9lyxfp wrote

Yeah? Give us a link to one then.

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[deleted] t1_j9mu5bm wrote

Ok - here ya go

It's almost like even though it's hard to predict with 100% accuracy, we're still able to use what we know about past events to give us a more accurate idea of what might happen

"Obviously, 65 mph or even 70 mph is a big number, but it's important to keep in mind these are GUSTS not sustained winds. So, no, this is not "hurricane-force" wind. Category 1 Hurricanes have SUSTAINED winds of 74 mph. Big difference. (Sorry, pet peeve). In addition, we don't have any leaves on the trees and there is snowpack on the ground in a lot of places, which helps us when it comes to power outages.

That being said, I expect a lot of outages from this event. It's just too much wind and it's out of the southeast, which hasn't historically been a kind wind direction for Maine."

https://www.newscentermaine.com/article/weather/weather-blog/maine-weather-friday-1-storm-4-issues-maine-christmas-forecast-rain-wind-snow/97-72813931-a106-4970-8dea-f04da3ee996e

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NetLibrarian t1_j9mv67x wrote

So after busting everyone's balls for being unspecific, you're hauling out "A lot of outages" as a sufficient answer?

I think you know just where you can cram it, buddy.

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Guygan t1_j9lzanl wrote

Well then ask the people who make those predictions.

OP asked for first hand experience. I gave mine.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lrn5b wrote

Reading comprehension really isn’t your strong suit

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vikingenvy t1_j9lt5om wrote

You write like you think you’re more intelligent than the kind Maine Reddit posters answering your stupid question. Yet your question is just plain stupid.

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[deleted] t1_j9lv57u wrote

I'm seeing a bunch of Mainers be an absolute dick to this guy - good representation.

It's also not a stupid question at all, outage experiences are going to vary from say, fucking Weld and this example, Saco. So, as local, you might have some idea of how this shit typically goes. Instead of offering that info, y'all are in here being cunts.

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vikingenvy t1_j9lwgph wrote

Lot of good your moral superiority does. Instead of bitching about people being mean to the guy who wrote “reading isn’t your strong suit”, why don’t you share your learned experience in approximating the likelihood of power outages in Saco, Maine. A quick google search shows one major event over the past 5 years, you scrotum.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lzr1m wrote

I could easily tell someone about outage experience in my old town. I could give examples of prior storms and what areas were losing power on a regular basis.

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ecco-domenica t1_j9m6idl wrote

But you are not asking about your former area. You are asking about this area and we are telling you the honest truth which is that it's unpredictable.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9lz2td wrote

For real had one poster creep my profile and made some assumption I came to Maine to grow pot 🙄

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ecco-domenica t1_j9m6bd5 wrote

The info about the Saco area is that it's unpredictable. Why is that so hard to understand?

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[deleted] t1_j9mskuk wrote

omg just please shut the fuck up

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ecco-domenica t1_j9okl55 wrote

>as local, you might have some idea of how this shit typically goes

Yes. I do have some idea of how this shit typically goes, and I'm telling you: power/internet might go out; then again it might not.

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Guygan t1_j9ls410 wrote

You asked for my experience, yes?

I told you what my experience was.

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ecco-domenica t1_j9m3mcp wrote

Their literal experience in this literal particular area that you are asking about is that it's literally unpredictable. Versus other areas where you literally do know for sure it's gonna be out for at least a couple days regardless. It may be out for a couple days, or several hours, or a few minutes, or not at all. It depends on the storm and a variety of other factors. They really are answering your question the best way it's possible to answer it. Ever heard the Maine expression "hard tellin not knowin"? I'd suggest you accept that and move on.

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exploremore617 OP t1_j9m5qty wrote

Asking about Predictability and peoples recent experience in a specific geographic area are very different.

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ecco-domenica t1_j9miit0 wrote

I'm sorry that you deal with comprehension difficulties. I will repeat. Try to focus. People's recent lived experience in the specific geographic area you are asking about is that power outages in that area are unpredictable. For some reason this makes you angry.

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[deleted] t1_j9lur8e wrote

You're gonna be fine, Saco is relatively populated so if you do lose power you should get it back in less than a day, multiple days are usually for bigger storms with lots of tree damage from high winds, I don't think wind is really much of an issue with this one, mostly snow and rain.

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