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Bywater t1_isiff6c wrote

"Still, projections are never perfect, he points out. While the projections Le Bris used captured the differences in tidal mixing, they are based on standard atmospheric effects on ocean temperature and do not reflect changing ocean current patterns in the Gulf of Maine, which Wahle said are harder to model." ā€œIā€™m not sure the oceanographic forecasting is at a place yet that can project what those conditions are going to look like with respect to the relative strength of the Labrador Current and the Gulf Stream, but to the extent those trends continue, we may be seeing a worsening effect,ā€ he said.

I mean hey, I really hope that they are right and that this unprecedented warming of the Gulf of Maine and death of micro biome won't drive lobstering offshore here. But considering how we are seeing it everywhere else the idea [that the currents that are all going to shit] (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/aug/05/climate-crisis-scientists-spot-warning-signs-of-gulf-stream-collapse) are going to save the day might not be the best gamble. "Particularly considering how much of an effect rising temperatures not only affect biological processes but also reduce water density and thereby stratification and circulation, which affect organismal dispersal and nutrient transport. Precipitation, salinity and winds also affect stratification, mixing and circulation." What we are seeing is one of those "snowball" effects, the water temperatures rise, the microorganisms die and change the density of the water, affecting current and continuing to make things worse. That zooplankton and phytoplankton are foundational to life on this planet, when they are gone and the oceans stop acting as a raditor because of it, well, "thanks for all the fish"... That was Cousteaus unheeded warning.

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