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keepthepace t1_j3e6gi8 wrote

Agreed on 1 and 2.

Not sure about 3: NVidia is dominant (maybe to the point of risking a monopoly litigation?) by providing to everyone. Making an "in" and "out" group carries little benefits and would push the out-group towards competition

4: I fail to see an "alignment organisation" that would provide 100M of value, either in tech or in reputation. It may emerge this year but I doubt there is one yet. Most valuable insights come from established AI shops

5: I doubt it. Artists are disregarded by politicians since forever. Copyright lobbyists have more power and they already outlawed generated images copyright

6: OpenAI is not an open source company. And this has already happened. Microsoft poured 1 billion into OpenAI

7: gosh I hope! Here is my own bold prediction: we will discover that multitask models require far less parameters for similar performance than language models and GATO successors will outperform similarly sized LLMs while simultaneously doing more tasks.

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LesleyFair OP t1_j3hd415 wrote

>Copyright

Thank you for taking the time to write this up! I am super glad, if my writing spurs a discussion.

On 3) I think that their brand partnership would not necessarily need to an in- and out-group. If we take the example of Nike investing heavily into breaking the record of running a 2h marathon. They were not really creating two groups either. They were injecting themselves into the narrative of a community aspiring the do something great. This gave them loads of brand lift. If NVIDIA would have been part of the Alpha Fold project, it could have been the same. I think they would be happy if they could replace "Deepmind pushed the envelope of protein folding problem" with "DeepMind and NVIDIA...". Obviously, replace protein folding with any upcoming breakthrough.

On 4) I fully agree. I do also not see any alignment organization adding this much value. Not to throw any shade, but if we compared this to Web3 investment in 2022, this prediction from the report does not seem too far off. In the Web3 case heaps of money were poured onto crypto founders that did not know the difference between a mutual and an exchange-traded fund, but were certain that their immutable database would "obviously" disrupt legacy banking by the next week.

On 5) I can't argue with the low interest in artists' well-being in the broader political dialogue. I would think that a lot of the low-tier creative work will change significantly in the next years. Imho, this does not just include fine arts, but also things like copywriting, product photography, and design.

  1. Agreed. OpenAI is not open source. Thank you for pointing out the case of Microsoft. Seems like their prediction already came true. :)

  2. Hell yeah! That would be so cool!

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Thanks again for taking the time and contributing your insights!

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