According the community survey in the link below 58% of NLP researchers agree that AGI should be an important concern for the field and 57% agreeing that recent research has advanced toward AGI in some significant way.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2208.12852.pdf

I personally don't think that we will have AGI within a decade, however, I do believe that AI will create a technological shift which will have a huge impact on society.

Imo the hype is all about generative models, which have been very successful recently. Combined with quantum computing the general knowledge of generative AI will be significantly larger than an average human’s and also will extremely wide in terms of the fields of application. I believe this is achievable in a decade or two.

The other question will that make it AGI?

Isn't AGI kind of a moving goalpost, or does it have very well-defined criteria?

Agree. The best we can hope for is a virtual intelligence. That we have already seen the beginnings of.

People have slightly different definitions, but generally it means an AI which is capable of doing most tasks which a human can perform.

> Right now the only known AGI is the human brain, and we have a very poor understanding of how that works.

This train of thought seems to suggest that there is only one path to AGI or that computers will implement a similar algorithm to human brains; there is no reason to assume this is the case. There may be many paths to the same goal