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o_o_o_f t1_ja54xdp wrote

Reply to comment by Bismar7 in Their future is AI, not ours. by [deleted]

Out of curiosity, where are you getting that timetable? I don’t have any reason to disbelieve it aside from that I haven’t seen it talked about before. And what does “human adult level” mean?

From what I’ve heard about AI, it seems like we are still a ways off from true general intelligence, and even farther from the sort of “comprehension” that is sometimes expected from people’s idea of what AI would be. I’m a software engineer, and we are only just starting to talk about AI at my company - I want to be clear that I do not know much about where the state of AI is truly at.

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ianitic t1_ja6gsks wrote

They're just making up timelines. I know there are some models that if you just drag the line forward, approach human level ability in a very niche task by 2030. There's a lot of niche tasks out there though.

A lot of these timelines also assume moores law will keep up pace and it's slated to die when transistors have the thinness of atoms by 2025.

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Psychomadeye t1_ja6sw8a wrote

The technology underpinning AI as we call it today was invented in 1948. It was improved in the 50s and 60s but was abandoned basically because it sucked. We developed better hardware and picked it back up in the 90s. Massive improvements since then. Only since we've seen some open AI toys has this subreddit cared. All that's really going to happen for us as developers is our environments will have better code completion.

I'm sometimes worried how this sub is going to respond twenty years from now when they find out about the Vietnam war.

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