Submitted by nousomuchoesto t3_11cnho9 in Futurology
trippedbackwards t1_ja8779b wrote
Reply to comment by NaturalNines in how could the future be for young people ? by nousomuchoesto
I think that's his point! Some people are suggesting OP practically ignores all the dire projections. He's saying that just because we've survived as a species so far doesn't mean one of these real problems could have unprecedented results. Sure, his uncle is still alive. But he's very lucky. Smoking is, in fact, bad for you and kills millions of people.
He's basically illustrating "survivor bias".
NaturalNines t1_ja8gsjl wrote
Except one person saying something irrational about medical science isn't an argument against scientists pushing flawed calculations that end up not coming true.
Hence why, rather than addressing the scientific flaws that produced the false predictions, he starts making up excuses about the anecdotal experience of his uncle.
It's not a scientific argument at all. It's an excuse to not have one.
trippedbackwards t1_ja8mnng wrote
You said his anecdote wasn't relevant. He never claimed it was a scientific argument. His anecdote demonstrates survivor bias which is 100% relevant to the discussion. You were just too obtuse to recognize it.
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