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For_All_Humanity OP t1_jad1ry5 wrote

Note that a typo was found in the article and was corrected by OP

> Brussels pencilled in a 40% renewable energy target by 2030 in the Fit for 55 package it unveiled in summer 2021, but the 27-country bloc is now projected to reach 45%, according to a new report released on Tuesday by Ember.

> This is partly due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine which started in February 2022, and which exacerbated an energy crisis across Europe, as European economies sought to wean themselves off Russian fossil fuels and Moscow stopped delivering gas to many countries.

>In response, European countries "turbocharged" their energy transition, the independent energy think tank said, with investment in clean technologies jumping by nearly a third year-on-year to reach new record highs.

>Such was the case for solar deployment, with more than 40 GW installed across the EU last year, a 47% increase on the previous year. Meanwhile, estimates put new capacity in 2023 at over 50 GW.

> This exponential growth should see the Fit for 55 solar target reached four years early, in 2026, with Germany, Spain, Poland, Italy, the Netherlands and France seen as the countries that will add the largest amount.

>Significant growth was also observed last year in both heat pumps and electric vehicles.

>A record 3 million heat pumps were sold across the EU in 2022 — equivalent to roughly four billion cubic metres of natural gas. This brought the total stock to about 20 million, attaining an interim objective set for 2026.

>Projections now put the number of heat pumps installed by 2030 at between 60-72 million, significantly higher than the 40 million units modelled in the Fit for 55 package.

>Meanwhile, sales of electric vehicles continued to climb despite a challenging year for car sales in general. The automotive industry is now confident that it can achieve the transport electrification target, which plans for a fivefold increase between now and 2030.

>Unlike wind, solar did not defy expectations last year and new onshore capacity installed actually came in below the Fit-for-55 target, despite a 40% increase on the previous year. The outlook for offshore wind is more positive as projects under development would add 70.5 GW capacity, close to a new interim target set earlier this year of 111 GW by the end of the decade.

>For Ember, the positive trends observed over the past 12 months should prompt the EU to revise its targets upwards.

>"A new energy reality has unfolded across Europe since the Fit-for-55 package was presented eighteen months ago, with record-breaking clean energy investments reflecting the security and economic imperatives for increasing renewables," Elisabeth Cremona, an Ember energy and climate data analyst, said.

>"Clean technologies are forecast to outpace Fit-for-55 expectations, putting the EU on course for at least 45% renewables by 2030. As 40% renewables no longer reflects where we are heading, sticking with the lower target means aiming for failure," she added.

>Both the European Commission and Parliament have indicated they are in favour of boosting targets ahead of final negotiations on the EU’s renewable energy target for 2030 scheduled to take place in March. But some member states would prefer the target to remain unchanged at "at least 40%."

The EU should power ahead at full speed, and help nations which may be struggling to transition. This will help provide self-sufficiency to Europe and starve authoritarian regimes of revenue from their lucrative energy businesses.

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dustofdeath t1_jaejxu5 wrote

It will likely accelerate even more. More adoption increases funds in the sector, making it more attractive.

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Surur t1_jadqgah wrote

> This is partly due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine which started in February 2022, and which exacerbated an energy crisis across Europe, as European economies sought to wean themselves off Russian fossil fuels and Moscow stopped delivering gas to many countries.

Putin's legacy in the end would be saving the world.

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reliable_specs t1_jaf2lon wrote

Hopefully AI helps us in these specific areas. I see no reason why we won't be able to extend significantly beyond the relatively small targets that we seem to keep setting.

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FuturologyBot t1_jad6n4a wrote

The following submission statement was provided by /u/For_All_Humanity:


Note that a typo was found in the article and was corrected by OP

> Brussels pencilled in a 40% renewable energy target by 2030 in the Fit for 55 package it unveiled in summer 2021, but the 27-country bloc is now projected to reach 45%, according to a new report released on Tuesday by Ember.

> This is partly due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine which started in February 2022, and which exacerbated an energy crisis across Europe, as European economies sought to wean themselves off Russian fossil fuels and Moscow stopped delivering gas to many countries.

>In response, European countries "turbocharged" their energy transition, the independent energy think tank said, with investment in clean technologies jumping by nearly a third year-on-year to reach new record highs.

>Such was the case for solar deployment, with more than 40 GW installed across the EU last year, a 47% increase on the previous year. Meanwhile, estimates put new capacity in 2023 at over 50 GW.

> This exponential growth should see the Fit for 55 solar target reached four years early, in 2026, with Germany, Spain, Poland, Italy, the Netherlands and France seen as the countries that will add the largest amount.

>Significant growth was also observed last year in both heat pumps and electric vehicles.

>A record 3 million heat pumps were sold across the EU in 2022 — equivalent to roughly four billion cubic metres of natural gas. This brought the total stock to about 20 million, attaining an interim objective set for 2026.

>Projections now put the number of heat pumps installed by 2030 at between 60-72 million, significantly higher than the 40 million units modelled in the Fit for 55 package.

>Meanwhile, sales of electric vehicles continued to climb despite a challenging year for car sales in general. The automotive industry is now confident that it can achieve the transport electrification target, which plans for a fivefold increase between now and 2030.

>Unlike wind, solar did not defy expectations last year and new onshore capacity installed actually came in below the Fit-for-55 target, despite a 40% increase on the previous year. The outlook for offshore wind is more positive as projects under development would add 70.5 GW capacity, close to a new interim target set earlier this year of 111 GW by the end of the decade.

>For Ember, the positive trends observed over the past 12 months should prompt the EU to revise its targets upwards.

>"A new energy reality has unfolded across Europe since the Fit-for-55 package was presented eighteen months ago, with record-breaking clean energy investments reflecting the security and economic imperatives for increasing renewables," Elisabeth Cremona, an Ember energy and climate data analyst, said.

>"Clean technologies are forecast to outpace Fit-for-55 expectations, putting the EU on course for at least 45% renewables by 2030. As 40% renewables no longer reflects where we are heading, sticking with the lower target means aiming for failure," she added.

>Both the European Commission and Parliament have indicated they are in favour of boosting targets ahead of final negotiations on the EU’s renewable energy target for 2030 scheduled to take place in March. But some member states would prefer the target to remain unchanged at "at least 40%."

The EU should power ahead at full speed, and help nations which may be struggling to transition. This will help provide self-sufficiency to Europe and starve authoritarian regimes of revenue from their lucrative energy businesses.


Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/11ebp72/eu_to_exceed_2030_renewable_target_prompting_call/jad1ry5/

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EnvironmentCalm1 t1_jaelq9b wrote

Germany is back to burning coal at record pace. EU exceeding the 2030 target might be and understatement since they're going backwards

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haraldkl t1_jaeua2h wrote

>Germany is back to burning coal at record pace.

That's just not true, though?

Record coal burning for electricity after 2000 in Germany was at 305.63 TWh in 2003. In 2022 it was at 181 TWh, doesn't look like a record to me.

>EU exceeding the 2030 target might be and understatement since they're going backwards

In what respect? Emissions seem to trend downwards?

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