Submitted by manual_tranny t3_ztplap in Futurology
Human_Anybody7743 t1_j1grg8t wrote
Reply to comment by JefferyTheQuaxly in All I want for Christmas is 400 GW of solar installed in 2023 by manual_tranny
This is true historically, but costs are starting to be dominated by "picking up a big rectangle twice and screwing it down" or "finding someone with a flat surface that wants power and putting some stakes in the ground".
These will also come down. For example Fraunhofer is trialling a system where the panels come hinged and connected out of the factory and you just drag them out in a straight line onto the ground right out of the container. Also increasing panel efficiency means less handling per watt.
I'd expect the top end of the S curve to start becoming apparent at about 30c/watt for utility or $1/W for rooftop.
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