I think the main flaw with this argument is that it hinges on a person's desire to make money from their hobby, or seek recognition.

Let's say your hobby is golf, or dance, or back packing with family, millions of people do these activities for the pleasure of doing them. Because we are amateur hobbyists, not professionals. The root of amateur is one who does a hobby for the love of the activity, not for money.

For me, the best argument for UBI is that we as our society becomes more specialized, there will be a bigger gap between those who wish to work in those specialties, such as a doctor, lawyer, business man, yes AI CAN take over those industries, but there is a very strong human element required at the end of the day. When informed we appreciate and crave the warm bed side manner of a real medical professional, the best corporations require out of the box thinking and innovative leadership to make it I. The global economy. While much of the legal industry will be revolutionized by AI, negotiations, jury trial, and appellate reviews will demand in person representation to get the best outcome for a client. Ai may be able to learn how to mimick these qualities, but until the on the ground human feals a true connection with their overlords, it just won't happen.

No, where will AI truly help the world? Well, menial labor will soon be phased out, every step of the way ai powered robots will replace traditional workers. Corporations will amass explosive profit margins by not hiring a work force, and unemployment will skyrocket.

This is where the UBI comes in. Essentially income that would have gone towards paying g a human staff will be taxed then distributed to those who would otherwise never have become doctors, lawyers, or corporate overlords.

In this setting yes I can see a world where people enjoy their free time devoid of having to work if they don't want to, or lack the required tale to. And it's not like there won't be a market hand made goods. Even today the ultra wealthy prefer the quality of hand made items to those of mass production. Bespoke suits are a great example. Could an AI do the work a master tsilor currently does? Of course, but those with money will still go to their favorite tailor and drop $40,000 on a suit. Yes, AI could do it, but we appreciate knowing the history of items, the human skill that went into their development, even if they aren't distinguished from an AI generated product, there will always be a market for them.

With millions of people now spending unlimited periods of time hobbling and exploring the world, corporations will see an unprecedented ted spike in demand, increased demand means increased production and profits, meaning an increase in UBI from taxes.

Those who wish to work as a specialist can do so out of a sense of calling, and not simply as a means to living. Higher education can be free si ce it will predominantly be ran by AI at the lower levels and at the highest levels the scene won't be flooded with students like we have currently. Most law students now will never see a legal job did you k ow that? Yes the average debt incurred for the more than 60,00 newly minted lawyers each year is about $150,000. To me this means that most people shouldn't go to law school. In fact only about 10% of all first year lawyers work in jobs that are justified in pay fir their JD, many work in government jobs that pay less than $60k, these jobs mostly can be done away with by AI

I'm sure the same is true for the MD track and the MBA track. With less students feeling like they have to go into post graduate work to make something of themselves, they can instead follow their own passions and just enjoy life, wothout the crippling debt.

You fear an AI revolution that will turn a paridise into a hellscape, trap instead of free. This vision of yours was low hanging fruit. Invoking visions of sky net or the matrix? How cliche can you get? I'm sorry but creating a counter argument to utopia as edgy damnation has been tried and failed since biblical times, at least revelations and Daniel were more creative and original in their prophesies.

Swing and a miss