Submitted by gaudiocomplex t3_zxnskd in Futurology
Ghostglitch07 t1_j22d8q7 wrote
Reply to comment by neomage2021 in What, exactly, are we supposed to do until AGI gets here? by gaudiocomplex
Kinda feels like someone seeing the kitty hawk flight and panicking about what we'll do when we make it to Mars.
Spunge14 t1_j23pdr6 wrote
You don't have to be afraid of AGI to see that AI is about to entirely transform most industries.
I would say a lot of people should be ready for a shuffle this decade.
walterhartwellblack t1_j23vuug wrote
>You don't have to be afraid of AGI to see that AI is about to entirely transform most industries.
Just like the automobile and the computer.
NeverEndingCoralMaze t1_j24igc1 wrote
Real estate is one. Zillow is working on it. They even launched a brokerage that heavily relied on AI and they lost a ton.
One good area is medicine. My psychiatrist recently retired; I started using Brightside and their providers get AI advice on which meds will work best for their patients based on symptoms and feedback about previous drugs used. My new doc recommended a change to one of the two antidepressants I use, based on my results, and the difference has been awesome. I had no idea it could get better than it was. Zero side effects now.
Spunge14 t1_j26ay8r wrote
I think about medicine a lot too. Basic radiologist will be an essentially non-existent job.
NeverEndingCoralMaze t1_j27toga wrote
They’re not far off. Pay attention to the X-ray monitor for the carryons next time you go through security at the airport. You’ll see it highlight certain items that alert the tsa agent to take a closer look. I know it isn’t the same as diagnosing a human, but it is the start.
Rapscallious1 t1_j240lvb wrote
There’s a big difference between whatever a lot and shuffle means vs most and unemployed means though. I do think people will need to be more open to mid career re-training than they have been traditionally.
MagneSTic t1_j245q0e wrote
“About to” in at best a couple decades. AI is about to be the next fusion energy.
Introsium t1_j24bcn7 wrote
As of a couple of weeks ago, a public, free-to-use LLM-based AI can just casually pass the BAR. It has the fastest adoption curve of anything — anything — we’ve seen in our lifetime.
I’ve already seen the explosion. I’m just waiting for the shockwave.
MagneSTic t1_j24c241 wrote
That doesn’t really surprise or impress me tbh. It’s a computer, which benefits from having a far better memory and recall than a human while also not drinking, partying, or being distracted, passing a standardized test. You could program a non-AI to do something like that. An AI passing a standardized test is line you or me passing it with a searchable answer key.
Introsium t1_j24d816 wrote
You could program a non-AI to perform any given task, but the entire point of my statement is that it casually passes the exam. It was not programmed to do that, but that doesn’t stop it from passing what’s commonly regarded as a very hard test. It simultaneously crushes programming challenges. But, most importantly, it can do most people’s jobs. It can’t do all of them perfectly but it can do them much cheaper than humans can for the loss in quality.
You’re looking at a Fabricator and saying “but that other machine can build a car, this isn’t really impressive”, which is entirely missing the point.
DoktoroKiu t1_j24lxlt wrote
It may have passed the test, but I would not use this as an indication that it could represent you in court. Unless it is fundamentally different than the other large language models it will confidently lie and is only really "motivated" to produce probable responses to given prompts.
The AI they trained on only research papers was shut down very quickly when it started making very detailed lies citing studies that seem plausible yet don't exist.
Now this is by no means an unsolvable problem, but solving it is not something we can just assume. AI alignment is not an easy problem.
[deleted] t1_j24dfmg wrote
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IsntThisWonderful t1_j24ipap wrote
Oh, yeah. You could totally just pass the bar with Google search. Sure. Tell me more of your fanciful tales of professions you know nothing about!
#ConfidentlyIncorrect
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