Submitted by Ok_Mathematician431 t3_zzrwu0 in Futurology
prescience6631 t1_j2dit9k wrote
In excel use the below formula:
= Iferror((1+rand()-.5) ^ (1/252) - 1,0)
The above perfectly models your daily returns
Edit: like any good financial model the first draft has a massive/glaring error. The iferror statement should be (XXX, -100%) in this case (let’s call this v2) — hopefully no one made critical life investment decisions based on the v1 model.
Coolguy69Christ t1_j2duju9 wrote
Bro here’s v2-edit12312022
=isnumber(iferror((1+rand()-.5)^(1/252)-1,0))
prescience6631 t1_j2dut8g wrote
Appreciate the version tracking; however, you’re still gonna want that -100% instead of 0!
No reason daily returns should be floored at 0 — this is a sophisticated and conservative model!
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