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pcvcolin t1_ixcrztm wrote

OP's submission statement in part:

"Submission Statement:

(...)

>Over the next three decades, Latvia, having already shed nearly 30% of its population since 1990, is set to lose 23.5% more.

>One factor behind this dramatic decline is global. Across the industrialised world, fertility rates are plunging: two-thirds of the world’s population now live in countries with a birthrate below the 2.1 births per woman necessary for natural replacement.

>But crucially, like many of the former Soviet states, especially those that joined the EU with its right to work and live across the bloc, Latvia – present population just under 2m – has also suffered successive waves of emigration, as young people leave for more money abroad.

Seems like you can't ignore the possibility of international marriage economies in that net outmigration overview / analysis.

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avatarname t1_ixeivk1 wrote

The thing is the outmigration stuff is good few years old, with rising salaries today it is not that much of a concern, especially going forward. Main concern now is that more people die than are born.

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pcvcolin t1_ixggupm wrote

Latvia - Historical Population Growth Rate

Year Pop. Growth Rate Growth Rate

2022 1,850,651 -1.24%

2021 1,873,919 -1.22%

2020 1,897,052 -1.02%

2019 1,916,555 -0.99%

2018 1,935,630 -0.98%

2017 1,954,862 -0.94%

2016 1,973,476 -0.93%

2015 1,991,955 -0.95%

The current net migration rate for Latvia in 2022 is -5.002 per 1000 population, a 11.64% decline from 2021.

The net migration rate for Latvia in 2021 was -5.661 per 1000 population, a 10.44% decline from 2020.

The net migration rate for Latvia in 2020 was -6.321 per 1000 population, a 9.44% decline from 2019.

The net migration rate for Latvia in 2019 was -6.980 per 1000 population, a 8.64% decline from 2018.

Etc

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avatarname t1_ixhi8vw wrote

Where are these numbers from?

Official statistics of Latvia show 1,895,400 people living in Latvia on Oct 1, 2022. Even if we discount 36 thousand Ukrainian refugees which are included in this number, we have a bit less than 1,859,000 something.

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