Jaohni t1_it3jhvp wrote
Reply to comment by nezeta in The End of Moore’s Law: Silicon computer chips are nearing the limit of their processing capacity. But is this necessarily an issue? Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies by CPHfuturesstudies
Correct me if I'm wrong, but hasn't "nm" as a naming scheme been kind of misleading since 157nm immersion lithography failed?
Like, before then, nanometer was a measure of distance between transistors, and a smaller difference meant a faster calculation that also used less energy, and could be made cheaper because the transistors would require less silicon for the same calculation.
But as finfet started coming onto the scene, you could essentially raise the transistor in a third dimension, which adjusted the performance profile of that transistor, allowing you to gain "effective nanometer reduction", so things like TSMC 16nm and onward weren't really "nanometer" anymore, but an essentially abstract number that indicated roughly the performance compared to previous generations, which is also why intel 10, for instance, is roughly as dense, in terms of literal nanometers, as TSMC 6/7, but doesn't necessarily perform the same in all instances.
IMO Moore's Law, as originally described is dead (a doubling of transistors, and performance every 8 months), but the "Layman's Moore's Law", that "Computation will advance geometrically and we'll be able to acquire higher levels of performance for the same money", is still well alive.
There's plenty of interesting and technically challenging ways to improve performance, such as 3d stacking (IBM, AMD), disaggregation (AMD, Apple), heterogenous compute (Arm, Intel) and so on, without even going into the upcoming AI accelerators that will take advantage of improved multi-threading / parallel compute to shore up on our lack of raw single threaded improvements we've seen as of late, so as a tech enthusiast I'm absolutely hyped for upcoming products, but I don't quite think that it's quite right to say that Moore's Law is still alive as it was originally used.
danielv123 t1_it4qmd1 wrote
Yes, which is why the nodes now have other names but are colloquially grouped by nm. Tsmc for example have N4 which is just a variant of their 5nm process. They also have different suffixes which run slightly different settings on the same machines to optimize for clocks, power etc.
JehovasFinesse t1_it6njlu wrote
I’ve learned more in this comment than I probably would in a lecture
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