Submitted by circleuranus t3_1231pbt in Futurology
circleuranus OP t1_jdut50n wrote
Reply to comment by phine-phurniture in A Problem That Keeps Me Up At Night. by circleuranus
For myself, accuracy isn't even of the greatest concern. Consider this, modern-day reporting requires "eyewitness" to the event or after-effects of the event/events. After all if no human witnesses the event, it's impossible to report on it other than from a historical context. Even if the event is only captured on a camera, a human must view the footage and develop a written history of it. Every step of the process is loaded with biases. Remove those biases and substitute it with a system that is 1000% more accurate with no inherent human biases and you have a digital God on your hands. Even if it were only 2-300% more accurate, it would still be the most reliable information dissemination system ever devised. CNN, Faux News, MSNBC....pointless.
Let's take the example of an everyday event such as a car crash. We come across the scene of an accident and we begin to build a model of what happened based on eyewitness testimony (notoriously unreliable) physical models and explanations of tire marks, impacts etc...and form an opinion based on probabilities. So Car A was likely speeding and t-boned Car B in the intersection.....but.
Enter the Oracle...using a real-time compilation of Tesla and other EV sensor data from nearby vehicles, footage from traffic cams, nearby atms, mobile phones, etc..etc. Shows that in fact Car A was traveling 4 miles under the speed limit and the driver of Car B was actually looking down at their radio at that precise moment and swerved into Car A's lane.
Mundane right? Now extrapolate that into trillions of data points. Google already knows what time I usually get out of bed from the moment I pick up my phone and activate the gyro. It probably knows what type of coffee I drink and how much. It knows what vehicle I drive and what time I leave the house. It knows what route I usually take. It knows what I'm likely wearing that day including pants and shirt sizes. It knows when I went to get my latest haircut, what type of razor I use to shave, where I go to lunch most days, what type of work I do.....and on and on and on. But it not only knows these things about me, but about everyone around me. And that's just Google/Amazon/Bing/Android/Apple etc. Consolidating all of that data and parsing it out to the level of the individual in real time? Terrifying.
You now have a system with trillions upon trillions of bits of data that understands an individual better than they understand themselves. Why wouldn't you trust such a system..? Your own mother doesn't know you as well as the Oracle. Besides the inherent trust in the information that will eventually develop, the moment the system makes even the tiniest most seemingly insignificant prediction with a minuscule accuracy rate, it will still be the most credible and powerful information system in the known universe. A system that will eventually garner blind trust in it's capabilities...and that's game over.
phine-phurniture t1_jduwy5y wrote
I would say you are thinking too much but you are spot on...
In an evolutionary sense we are pretty close to the best the monkey model can offer .... If and this is a big if. If we can step back from our instinctive responces and embrace more logic AI and humanity have a future together if not we have maybe 100 years before we fade to black.
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